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5 Revealing Analyst Questions From Meritage Homes’s Q4 Earnings Call

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Meritage Homes’ fourth quarter was defined by persistent affordability challenges and cautious buyer sentiment, which management identified as key drivers behind softer sales activity and margin compression. CEO Phillippe Lord noted that the company held firm on limiting incentives, even as competitors aggressively discounted to clear inventory, contributing to a slower absorption pace. The company’s focus on backlog conversion and maintaining a healthy inventory of move-in ready homes partially offset the impact of lower demand, but management acknowledged that “Q4 was really bad” due to both consumer confidence and competitive dynamics.

Is now the time to buy MTH? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Meritage Homes (MTH) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.44 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.49 billion (11.5% year-on-year decline, 3.8% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.20 vs analyst expectations of $1.52 (21.2% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $108.7 million vs analyst estimates of $151.2 million (7.6% margin, 28.1% miss)
  • Operating Margin: 6.1%, down from 12.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Backlog: $440.6 million at quarter end, down 30% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $4.96 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Meritage Homes’s Q4 Earnings Call

  • Trevor Allinson (Wolfe Research) asked about the rationale behind Meritage’s decision to slow sales and focus on margins. CEO Phillippe Lord explained that the company avoided chasing incentives to protect profitability, expecting better returns in the upcoming spring.
  • Alan Ratner (Zelman) pressed for clarity on community count growth and margin seasonality. Lord confirmed growth is off year-end numbers, while CFO Hilla Sferruzza explained that margin pressure in Q1 reflects typical seasonal patterns, not a structural reset.
  • Michael Rehaut (JPMorgan) questioned management’s optimism for the spring selling season. Lord distinguished between improvement over Q4 and year-ago levels, stating that early January showed more robust buyer interest but it is “too early to tell if that’s structural.”
  • Rafe Jadrosich (Bank of America) inquired about SG&A savings from recent cost cuts and off-balance sheet financing. Sferruzza said savings and efficiency gains should support SG&A leverage, and the company plans to increase use of off-balance sheet structures.
  • Stephen Kim (Evercore) asked about margin sensitivity to lower absorption rates and the adaptability of Meritage’s move-in ready strategy. Sferruzza indicated modest margin impact from small volume changes, and Lord reiterated that the move-in ready focus is designed to compete effectively, even as resale inventory returns.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace and sustainability of demand improvement during the spring selling season, (2) the impact of direct cost savings and operational efficiencies on margins as older inventory cycles out, and (3) the effectiveness of community count growth in driving market share gains. We will also track management’s execution on land portfolio optimization and the company’s ability to adapt to changing regional demand trends.

Meritage Homes currently trades at $71.53, up from $69.18 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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