Stratasys has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small return of 2.1% while holding steady at $10.95. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 10.2% gain during that period.
Is now the time to buy Stratasys, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.
Why Do We Think Stratasys Will Underperform?
We're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons we avoid SSYS and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Flatter Than a Pancake
Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Unfortunately, Stratasys struggled to consistently increase demand as its $561.5 million of sales for the trailing 12 months was close to its revenue five years ago. This wasn’t a great result and signals it’s a low quality business.
2. Operating Losses Sound the Alarms
Operating margin is one of the best measures of profitability because it tells us how much money a company takes home after procuring and manufacturing its products, marketing and selling those products, and most importantly, keeping them relevant through research and development.
Stratasys’s operating margin has been trending up over the last 12 months, but it still averaged negative 12.1% over the last five years. This is due to its large expense base and inefficient cost structure.
3. Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping
If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
As you can see below, Stratasys’s margin dropped by 6.1 percentage points over the last five years. It may have ticked higher more recently, but shareholders are likely hoping for its margin to at least revert to its historical level. Almost any movement in the wrong direction is undesirable because it’s already burning cash. If the longer-term trend returns, it could signal it’s becoming a more capital-intensive business. Stratasys’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was breakeven.
Final Judgment
We see the value of companies helping their customers, but in the case of Stratasys, we’re out. With its shares underperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 57× forward P/E (or $10.95 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - we think other companies feature superior fundamentals at the moment. We’d suggest looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.
Stocks We Would Buy Instead of Stratasys
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