The end of the earnings season is always a good time to take a step back and see who shined (and who not so much). Let’s take a look at how sit-down dining stocks fared in Q3, starting with BJ's (NASDAQ:BJRI).
Sit-down restaurants offer a complete dining experience with table service. These establishments span various cuisines and are renowned for their warm hospitality and welcoming ambiance, making them perfect for family gatherings, special occasions, or simply unwinding. Their extensive menus range from appetizers to indulgent desserts and wines and cocktails. This space is extremely fragmented and competition includes everything from publicly-traded companies owning multiple chains to single-location mom-and-pop restaurants.
The 12 sit-down dining stocks we track reported a mixed Q3. As a group, revenues missed analysts’ consensus estimates by 0.9%.
In light of this news, share prices of the companies have held steady. On average, they are relatively unchanged since the latest earnings results.
BJ's (NASDAQ:BJRI)
Founded in 1978 in California, BJ’s Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) is a chain of restaurants whose menu features classic American dishes, often with a twist.
BJ's reported revenues of $325.7 million, up 2.2% year on year. This print was in line with analysts’ expectations, but overall, it was a softer quarter for the company with a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA and EPS estimates.
“Our third quarter results mark progress with our sales building initiatives, which drove positive comparable restaurant sales and guest traffic that accelerated through the quarter,” commented Brad Richmond, Interim Chief Executive Officer.
Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 1.8% since reporting and currently trades at $36.41.
Read our full report on BJ's here, it’s free.
Best Q3: Brinker International (NYSE:EAT)
Founded by Norman Brinker in Dallas, Texas, Brinker International (NYSE:EAT) is a casual restaurant chain that operates under the Chili’s, Maggiano’s Little Italy, and It’s Just Wings banners.
Brinker International reported revenues of $1.14 billion, up 12.5% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 3.4%. The business had a stunning quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA and same-store sales estimates.
Brinker International delivered the biggest analyst estimates beat and highest full-year guidance raise among its peers. The market seems happy with the results as the stock is up 29.1% since reporting. It currently trades at $125.50.
Is now the time to buy Brinker International? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.
Weakest Q3: Denny's (NASDAQ:DENN)
Open around the clock, Denny’s (NASDAQ:DENN) is a chain of diner restaurants serving breakfast and traditional American fare.
Denny's reported revenues of $111.8 million, down 2.1% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 3.2%. It was a softer quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA and EPS estimates.
As expected, the stock is down 5.7% since the results and currently trades at $6.25.
Read our full analysis of Denny’s results here.
Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN)
Owner of the iconic Australian-themed Outback Steakhouse, Bloomin’ Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) is a leading American restaurant company that owns and operates a portfolio of popular restaurant brands.
Bloomin' Brands reported revenues of $1.04 billion, down 3.8% year on year. This number missed analysts’ expectations by 0.8%. It was a softer quarter as it also logged full-year EPS guidance missing analysts’ expectations significantly.
Bloomin' Brands had the slowest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is down 22.7% since reporting and currently trades at $12.97.
Read our full, actionable report on Bloomin' Brands here, it’s free.
First Watch (NASDAQ:FWRG)
Based on a nautical reference to the first work shift aboard a ship, First Watch (NASDAQ:FWRG) is a chain of breakfast and brunch restaurants whose menu is heavily-focused on eggs and griddle items such as pancakes.
First Watch reported revenues of $251.6 million, up 14.8% year on year. This result came in 2% below analysts' expectations. Zooming out, it was a satisfactory quarter as it also logged an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but same-store sales in line with analysts’ estimates.
The stock is flat since reporting and currently trades at $18.24.
Read our full, actionable report on First Watch here, it’s free.
Market Update
Thanks to the Fed's series of rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has cooled significantly from its post-pandemic highs, drawing closer to the 2% goal. This disinflation has occurred without severely impacting economic growth, suggesting the success of a soft landing. The stock market has thrived in 2024, spurred by recent rate cuts (0.5% in September and 0.25% in November), and a notable surge followed Donald Trump’s presidential election win in November, propelling indices to historic highs. Nonetheless, the outlook for 2025 remains clouded by potential trade policy changes and corporate tax discussions, which could impact business confidence and growth. The path forward holds both optimism and caution as new policies take shape.
Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.
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