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This Unfounded Worry Could Keep You From 20%+ Gains in 2024

With the S&P 500 up double-digits this year, the media is at it again—cranking up worries that we’re headed for another crash. “Stock-Market Crash: Expert Shares Huge ‘Red Flag’ Signaling Recession,” says Business Insider. “Will the Stock Market Crash? This Hedge-Funder Thinks So,” declares New York Magazine . And on it goes. I suppose it makes sense, given that the S&P 500’s roughly 19% gain so far this year is a lot more than its typical return. Thing is, 2023 does not exist in a vacuum divorced from history, and just a tiny bit of history shows we’re not yet in a bull market, and stocks are not overheated, despite their recent gains.… Read more
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