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2 Reasons to Watch TXRH and 1 to Stay Cautious

TXRH Cover Image

Texas Roadhouse currently trades at $188.92 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a middling return of 2.3%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 11.5% gain during that period.

Is now the time to buy TXRH? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does Texas Roadhouse Spark Debate?

With locations often featuring Western-inspired decor, Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) is an American restaurant chain specializing in Southern-style cuisine and steaks.

Two Things to Like:

1. Restaurant Growth Signals an Offensive Strategy

A restaurant chain’s total number of dining locations often determines how much revenue it can generate.

Texas Roadhouse operated 806 locations in the latest quarter. It has opened new restaurants at a rapid clip over the last two years, averaging 6% annual growth, much faster than the broader restaurant sector.

When a chain opens new restaurants, it usually means it’s investing for growth because there’s healthy demand for its meals and there are markets where its concepts have few or no locations.

Texas Roadhouse Operating Locations

2. Surging Same-Store Sales Show Increasing Demand

Same-store sales is an industry measure of whether revenue is growing at existing restaurants, and it is driven by customer visits (often called traffic) and the average spending per customer (ticket).

Texas Roadhouse has been one of the most successful restaurant chains over the last two years thanks to skyrocketing demand within its existing dining locations. On average, the company has posted exceptional year-on-year same-store sales growth of 7.3%.

Texas Roadhouse Same-Store Sales Growth

One Reason to be Careful:

Low Gross Margin Reveals Weak Structural Profitability

Gross profit margins tell us how much money a restaurant gets to keep after paying for the direct costs of the meals it sells, like ingredients, and indicate its level of pricing power.

Texas Roadhouse has bad unit economics for a restaurant company, signaling it operates in a competitive market and has little room for error if demand unexpectedly falls. As you can see below, it averaged a 17% gross margin over the last two years. That means Texas Roadhouse paid its suppliers a lot of money ($83.04 for every $100 in revenue) to run its business. Texas Roadhouse Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

Final Judgment

Texas Roadhouse has huge potential even though it has some open questions. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at 29.5× forward P/E (or $188.92 per share). Is now a good time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

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