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3 Reasons FLWS is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

FLWS Cover Image

The past six months haven’t been great for 1-800-FLOWERS. It just made a new 52-week low of $6.23, and shareholders have lost 21.5% of their capital. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in 1-800-FLOWERS, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.

Despite the more favorable entry price, we're swiping left on 1-800-FLOWERS for now. Here are three reasons why we avoid FLWS and a stock we'd rather own.

Why Do We Think 1-800-FLOWERS Will Underperform?

Founded in 1976, 1-800-FLOWERS (NASDAQ: FLWS) is an online retailer of flowers, gifts, and gourmet foods, serving customers globally.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Over the last five years, 1-800-FLOWERS grew its sales at a sluggish 6.2% compounded annual growth rate. This fell short of our benchmark for the consumer discretionary sector. 1-800-FLOWERS Quarterly Revenue

2. EPS Trending Down

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Sadly for 1-800-FLOWERS, its EPS declined by 17.5% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew by 6.2%. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

1-800-FLOWERS Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

ROIC, or return on invested capital, is a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Unfortunately, 1-800-FLOWERS’s ROIC has decreased significantly over the last few years. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

1-800-FLOWERS Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies helping consumers, but in the case of 1-800-FLOWERS, we’re out. Following the recent decline, the stock trades at 20.7× forward price-to-earnings (or $6.23 per share). This valuation is reasonable, but the company’s shaky fundamentals present too much downside risk. There are better investments elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at one of Charlie Munger’s all-time favorite businesses.

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