If you have been investing for years but still cannot answer "when can I actually stop working?", you are not alone.
Many investors focus on growing their portfolio without a clear target. They track returns, rebalance allocations, and watch market movements—but lack a concrete number that signals financial independence.
This is where the FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) framework becomes useful. It provides a straightforward formula to calculate exactly how much you need.
The 25x Rule: A Simple Starting Point
The most widely used FIRE calculation is the 25x rule: multiply your annual expenses by 25.
If you spend $40,000 per year, your target is $1,000,000.
If you spend $60,000 per year, your target is $1,500,000.
This number represents the portfolio size that can sustain your lifestyle indefinitely using a 4% annual withdrawal rate—a guideline backed by decades of retirement research.
A FIRE number calculator (https://firenum.com/) can help you determine your specific target based on your actual spending.
Why Most Retirement Calculators Get It Wrong
Traditional retirement calculators assume you will stop working at 65. They factor in Social Security, pensions, and a 20-30 year retirement window.
But what if you want to retire at 45? Or 50?
Early retirement requires a different approach:
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Longer time horizon means more exposure to inflation and market volatility
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Healthcare costs before Medicare eligibility
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No pension or Social Security for potentially decades
This is why the 4% rule uses conservative assumptions—it accounts for 30+ year retirements and various market conditions.
What If You Are Not Ready to Fully Retire?
Not everyone wants to stop working completely. Some prefer reducing hours, switching careers, or taking a lower-stress job.
This is called Coast FIRE: reaching a portfolio size where compound growth alone will fund your traditional retirement, even if you never invest another dollar.
At that point, your income only needs to cover current expenses—not future savings. A Coast FIRE calculator (https://firenum.com/coast-fire) can show you when you might reach this milestone.
Tracking Your Progress Over Time
Knowing your target number is only the first step. The real challenge is tracking progress consistently over months and years.
Many investors check their portfolios frequently but lack a structured way to measure how close they are to financial independence. Without clear milestones, the journey can feel endless.
A FIRE progress tracker (https://firenum.com/progress-tracker) lets you monitor your net worth against your target, see percentage milestones (25%, 50%, 75%), and visualize your trajectory over time.
Getting Started
You do not need to quit your job tomorrow or live an extremely frugal lifestyle.
Start by understanding three numbers:
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Your current annual expenses
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Your target portfolio size (25x expenses)
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Your current net worth and savings rate
With these figures, you can calculate how many years until financial independence—and decide whether to accelerate the timeline or adjust your target.
The goal is not to stop working. It is to make work optional.
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