UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
FORM 10-K

X    ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
(FEE REQUIRED)
 
For the fiscal year ended: December 31, 2006 OR

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
(NO FEE REQUIRED)

For the transition period from _________________________ to _________________________
Commission File Number: 001-10607

OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

                               Delaware                                          No. 36-2678171______ 
(State or other jurisdiction of                                 (IRS Employer Identification No.)
incorporation or organization)

    307 North Michigan Avenue, Chicago, Illinois                                                                            60601                                   
(Address of principal executive office)                                    (Zip Code)

   Registrant's telephone number, including area code: 312-346-8100

   Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
 
                                  Title of each class                                           Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered
           7% Subordinated Debentures Due June 15, 2007                                     New York Stock Exchange      
          Common Stock/$1 par value                                                                    New York Stock Exchange        
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.
Yes: X/ No:  

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.
Yes:  / No:X

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports) and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes: X/ No:  

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant's knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one).

Large accelerated filer x   Accelerated filer ¨   Non-accelerated filer ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Exchange Act Rule 12b-2). Yes:  / No:X

The aggregate market value of the registrant's voting Common Stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant (assuming, for purposes of this calculation only, that the registrant’s directors and executive officers, the registrant’s various employee benefit plans and American Business & Personal Insurance Mutual, Inc. and its subsidiaries are all affiliates of the registrant), based on the closing sale price of the registrant’s common stock on June 30, 2006, the last day of the registrant’s most recently completed second fiscal quarter, was $4,582,172,544.
 
The registrant had 231,170,576 shares of Common Stock outstanding as of February 2, 2007.

Documents incorporated by reference:

The following documents are incorporated by reference into that part of this Form 10-K designated to the right of the document title.
 
                                           Title                                              Part   
Proxy statement for the 2007 Annual Meeting of Shareholders                        III, Items 10, 11, 12, 13 and 14
Exhibits as specified in exhibit index (page 76)                            IV, Item 15
________________
There are 77 pages in this report
 
PART I

Item 1 - Business

(a) General Description of Business. Old Republic International Corporation is a Chicago-based insurance holding company. The Company is engaged in the single business of insurance underwriting. It conducts its business through a number of regulated insurance company subsidiaries organized into three major segments, namely, it’s General (property and liability), Mortgage Guaranty, and Title insurance segments. References herein to such groups apply to the Company's subsidiaries engaged in these respective segments of business. A small life and health insurance business is included within the corporate and other caption of this financial report. In this report, “Old Republic”, or “the Company” refers to Old Republic International Corporation and its subsidiaries as the context requires.


Financial Information Relating to Segments of Business (1)

The contributions to net revenues and income (loss) before taxes of each Old Republic segment are set forth below for the years shown, together with their respective assets at the end of each year. The information below should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements, the notes thereto, and the “Management Analysis of Financial Position and Results of Operations” appearing elsewhere herein.
 
Net Revenues (2)
($ in Millions)
Years Ended December 31:
2006
 
2005
 
2004
General
$ 2,138.7
 
$ 2,017.6
 
$ 1,822.5
Mortgage Guaranty
529.9
 
516.0
 
489.9
Title
1,007.3
 
1,108.6
 
1,051.8
Corporate & Other - Net (3)
99.2
 
98.6
 
79.3
Consolidated Realized Investment Gains
19.0
 
64.9
 
47.9
Consolidated
$ 3,794.2
 
$ 3,805.9
 
$ 3,491.6
 

 
Income (Loss) Before Taxes
 
Years Ended December 31:
2006
 
2005
 
2004
 
General
$ 401.6
 
$ 350.0
 
$ 333.0
 
Mortgage Guaranty
228.4
 
243.7
 
224.5
 
Title
31.0
 
88.7
 
62.5
 
Corporate & Other - Net (3)
-
 
(.1
)
(17.2
)
Consolidated Realized Investment Gains
19.0
 
64.9
 
47.9
 
Consolidated
$ 680.1
 
$ 747.3
 
$ 650.9
 
 


 
Assets
 
As of December 31:
2006
 
2005
General
$ 9,363.5
 
$ 8,178.9
Mortgage Guaranty
2,189.6
 
2,211.8
Title
772.7
 
776.3
Corporate & Other - Net (3)
286.3
 
376.0
Consolidated
$ 12,612.2
 
$ 11,543.2
       
       

(1) Reference is made to the table in Note 6 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, incorporated herein by reference, which shows the contribution of each subcategory to the consolidated net revenues and income or loss before income taxes of Old Republic's insurance industry segments.
(2) Revenues consist of net premiums, fees, net investment and other income earned; realized investment gains are shown in total for all groups combined since the investment portfolio is managed as a whole.
(3) Represents amounts for Old Republic’s holding company parent, minor corporate services subsidiaries, and a small life and health insurance operation. The significant loss in 2004 was mostly due to a pretax charge of $10.5 million for previously deferred acquisition costs on term-life business which was terminated and placed in run-off mode as of year end 2004.
 
 
2
 
The insurance business is distinguished from most others in that the prices (premiums) charged for various coverages are set without certainty of the ultimate benefit and claim costs that will emerge or be incurred, often many years after issuance of a policy. This basic fact casts Old Republic’s business as a long-term undertaking which is managed with a primary focus on the achievement of favorable underwriting results over time. In addition to operating income stemming from Old Republic’s basic underwriting and related services functions, significant revenues are obtained from investable funds generated by those functions as well as from retained shareholders’ capital. In managing investable funds the Company aims to assure stability of income from interest and dividends, protection of capital, and sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting and other obligations as they become payable in the future. Securities trading and the realization of capital gains are not objectives. The investment philosophy is therefore best categorized as emphasizing value, credit quality, and relatively long-term holding periods. The Company’s ability to hold both fixed maturity and equity securities for long periods of time is enabled by the scheduling of maturities in contemplation of an appropriate matching of assets and liabilities.

In light of the above factors, the Company’s affairs are managed for the long run, without regard to the arbitrary strictures of quarterly or even annual reporting periods that American industry must observe. In Old Republic’s view, short reporting time frames do not comport well with the long-term nature of much of its business, driven as it is by a strong focus on the fundamental underwriting and related service functions of the Company. Management believes that Old Republic’s operating results and financial condition can best be evaluated by observing underwriting and overall operating performance trends over succeeding five to ten year intervals. Such time intervals are likely to encompass one or two economic and/or underwriting cycles, and provide appropriate time frames for such cycles to run their course and for reserved claim costs to be quantified with greater finality and effect.


General Insurance Group

Through its General Insurance Group subsidiaries, the Company assumes risks and provides related risk management services that encompass a large variety of property and liability insurance coverages. Old Republic does not have a meaningful exposure to personal lines of insurance such as homeowners and private automobile coverages, and does not insure significant amounts of commercial and other property. Approximately 85% of the Company’s general insurance business is produced through independent agency and brokerage channels, while the remaining 15% is obtained through direct production facilities.

Commercial automobile (mostly trucks) full coverage protection, workers' compensation and general liability (including the general liability portion of commercial package policies) are the major classes of insurance underwritten for businesses and public entities such as municipalities. Within these classes of insurance, Old Republic focuses on a number of industries, most prominently the transportation (trucking and general aviation), construction, forest products, and energy industries.
 
Over the years, Old Republic has diversified its General Insurance Group business. This diversification has been achieved through a combination of internal growth, the establishment of new subsidiaries, and selective mergers with other companies. For 2006, production of commercial automobile direct insurance premiums accounted for 34.8% of consolidated direct premiums written by the General Insurance Group, while workers' compensation and general liability direct insurance premiums amounted to 22.2% and 13.2%, respectively, of such consolidated totals.

Among other liability coverages, Old Republic indemnifies corporations’ financial exposures to directors’ and officers’ (“D&O”) liability as well as those stemming from errors and omissions (“E&O”) liability. In the past twenty years, the Company has developed a presence in the general aviation insurance industry, providing coverage for hull and liability exposures as well as such additional areas as airport facilities and flying schools.
 
The Company also covers fidelity, surety and credit exposures for a wide range of business enterprises. Fidelity and surety policies are issued through some 9,000 independent agents by the Old Republic Surety Group. Surety bonds, such as those covering public officials, license and permit authorizations and contract bonds covering both public and private works, are typically written for exposures of less than $500,000. Fidelity bonds are also extended to small to medium-sized risks. Old Republic Insured Credit Services, Inc. has underwritten consumer loan and retail installment sales credit indemnity insurance since 1955 through commercial banks, thrifts and other lending institutions. This coverage provides a limited indemnity to lenders on a variety of consumer loans and installment sales contracts.

Old Republic's property insurance business incorporates mostly commercial physical damage insurance on trucking risks. A small volume of business is represented by fire and other physical perils for commercial properties.

Extended warranty coverages for new and used automobiles, as well as home warranty policies covering appliances and other mechanical systems in pre-owned homes are marketed by Old Republic through its own employees and selected independent agents. Travel insurance is produced through independent travel agents in the United States and Canada. The coverages provided under these policies, some of which are also underwritten by one of the Company’s life insurance subsidiaries, include trip delay and trip cancellation protection for insureds.

3
 
Mortgage Guaranty Group

Private mortgage insurance protects mortgage lenders and investors from default related losses on residential mortgage loans made primarily to homebuyers who make down payments of less than 20% of the home’s purchase price. The Mortgage Guaranty Group insures only first mortgage loans, primarily on residential properties incorporating one-to-four family dwelling units.

There are two principal types of private mortgage insurance coverage: “primary” and “pool”. Primary mortgage insurance provides mortgage default protection on individual loans and covers a stated percentage of the unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest, and certain expenses associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure. In lieu of paying the stated coverage percentage, the Company may pay the entire claim amount, take title to the mortgaged property, and subsequently sell the property to mitigate its loss. Pool insurance, which is written on a group of loans in negotiated transactions, provides coverage that ranges up to 100% of the net loss on each individual loan included in the pool, subject to provisions regarding deductibles, caps on individual exposures, and aggregate stop loss provisions which limit aggregate losses to a specified percentage of the total original balances of all loans in the pool.

Traditional primary insurance is issued on an individual loan basis to mortgage bankers, brokers, commercial banks and savings institutions through a network of Company-managed underwriting sites located throughout the country. Traditional primary loans are individually reviewed (except for loans insured under delegated approval programs) and priced according to filed premium rates. In underwriting traditional primary business, the Company generally adheres to the underwriting guidelines published by the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (“FHLMC”) or the Federal National Mortgage Association (“FNMA”), purchasers of many of the loans the Company insures. Delegated underwriting programs allow approved lenders to commit the Company to insure loans provided they adhere to predetermined underwriting guidelines. In 2006, delegated underwriting approvals accounted for approximately 66% of the Company’s new traditional primary risk written.

Bulk and other insurance is issued on groups of loans to mortgage banking customers through a centralized risk assessment and underwriting department. These groups of loans are priced in the aggregate, on a bid or negotiated basis. Coverage for insurance issued in this manner can be provided through primary insurance policies (loan level coverage) or pool insurance policies (aggregate coverage). The Company considers transactions designated as bulk insurance to be exposed to higher risk (as determined by characteristics such as origination channel, loan amount, credit quality, and loan documentation) than those designated as other insurance.

Before insuring any loans, the Company issues to each approved customer a master policy outlining the terms and conditions under which coverage will be provided. Primary business is then executed via the issuance of a commitment/certificate for each loan submitted and approved for insurance. In the case of business providing pool coverage, a separate pool insurance policy is issued covering the particular loans applicable to each transaction.

As to all types of mortgage insurance products, the amount of premium charge depends on loan-to-value ratios, the level of coverage being provided, the type of loan instrument (whether fixed rate/fixed payment or an adjustable rate/adjustable payment), documentation type, and whether or not the insured property is categorized as an investment or owner occupied property. Coverage is non-cancelable by the Company (except in the case of non-payment of premium or certain master policy violations) and premiums are paid under single, annual, or monthly payment plans. Single premiums are paid at the inception of coverage and provide coverage for the entire coverage term. Annual and monthly premiums are renewable on their anniversary dates with the premium charge determined on the basis of the original or outstanding loan amount. The majority of the Company’s direct premiums are written under monthly premium plans. Premiums may be paid by borrowers as part of their monthly mortgage payment and passed through to the Company by the servicer of the loan or they may be paid directly by the originator of, or investor in the mortgage loan.

Title Insurance Group

The title insurance business consists primarily of the issuance of policies to real estate purchasers and investors based upon searches of the public records, which contain information concerning interests in real property. The policy insures against losses arising out of defects, liens and encumbrances affecting the insured title and not excluded or excepted from the coverage of the policy. For the year ended December 31, 2006, approximately 32% of the Company’s consolidated title premium and related fee income stemmed from direct operations (which include branch offices of its title insurers and wholly owned subsidiaries of the Company), while the remaining 68% emanated from independent title agents and underwritten title companies.

There are two basic types of title insurance policies: lenders' policies and owners' policies. Both are issued for a onetime premium. Most mortgages made in the United States are extended by mortgage bankers, savings and commercial banks, state and federal agencies, and life insurance companies. The financial institutions secure title insurance policies to protect their mortgagees' interest in the real property. This protection remains in effect for as long as the mortgagee has an interest in the property. A separate title insurance policy may be issued to the owner of the real estate. An owner's policy of title insurance protects an owner's interest in the title to the property.
 
4
The premiums charged for the issuance of title insurance policies vary with the policy amount and the type of policy issued. The premium is collected in full when the real estate transaction is closed, there being no recurring fee thereafter. In many areas, premiums charged on subsequent policies on the same property may be reduced, depending generally upon the time elapsed between issuance of the previous policies and the nature of the transactions for which the policies are issued. Most of the charge to the customer relates to title services rendered in conjunction with the issuance of a policy rather than to the possibility of loss due to risks insured against. Accordingly, the cost of service performed by a title insurer relates for the most part to the prevention of loss rather than to the assumption of the risk of loss. Claim losses that do occur result primarily from title search and examination mistakes, fraud, forgery, incapacity, missing heirs and escrow processing errors.

In connection with its title insurance operations, Old Republic also provides escrow closing and construction disbursement services, as well as real estate information products and services pertaining to real estate transfers and loan transactions.

Corporate and Other Operations

Corporate and other operations include the accounts of a small life and health insurance business as well as those of the parent holding company and several minor corporate services subsidiaries that perform investment management, payroll, administrative and minor marketing services.

The Company’s small life and health business registered 2006 and 2005 net premium revenues of $74.1 million and $70.3 million, respectively. This business is conducted in both the United States and Canada and consists mostly of limited product offerings sold through financial intermediaries such as finance companies, automobile dealers, travel agents, and marketing channels that are also utilized in some of Old Republic’s general insurance operations. Production of term life insurance, accounting for net premiums earned of $18.5 million in 2006 and $19.5 million in 2005, was terminated and placed in run off mode as of year end 2004. As a result of the changed circumstances, it was then concluded that previously deferred acquisition costs could no longer be amortized for their full amount over the product’s expected run-off years. Accordingly, 2004 operations were charged in the sum of $10.5 million to reflect revised estimates of deferrable costs.
 
5
 
Consolidated Underwriting Statistics

The following table reflects underwriting statistics covering: premiums and related loss, expense, and policyholders' dividend ratios for the major coverages underwritten in the General, Mortgage Guaranty and Title insurance groups:
 
 
($ in Millions)
 
Years Ended December 31,
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
General Insurance Group:
         
Overall Experience:
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 1,902.1
 
$ 1,805.2
 
$ 1,623.0
Claim Ratio
65.5%
 
66.6%
 
65.8%
Policyholders’ Dividend Benefit
.4
 
.3
 
.1
Expense Ratio
24.4
 
24.6
 
24.8
Composite Ratio
90.3%
 
91.5%
 
90.7%
Experience by Major Coverages:
         
Commercial Automobile (Principally Trucking):
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 756.2
 
$ 707.9
 
$ 616.3
Claim Ratio
75.2%
 
67.1%
 
66.5%
Workers’ Compensation:
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 412.8
 
$ 396.5
 
$ 353.9
Claim Ratio
73.6%
 
78.2%
 
71.9%
Policyholders’ Dividend Benefit
1.0%
 
.7%
 
.5%
General Liability:
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 96.2
 
$ 96.8
 
$ 94.4
Claim Ratio
57.2%
 
97.1%
 
108.6%
Three Above Coverages Combined:
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 1,265.3
 
$ 1,201.2
 
$ 1,064.7
Claim Ratio
73.3%
 
73.2%
 
72.0%
Financial Indemnity: (1)
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 209.4
 
$ 186.3
 
$ 191.4
Claim Ratio
41.5%
 
48.9%
 
47.5%
Inland Marine and Property: (2)
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 203.1
 
$ 198.8
 
$ 184.5
Claim Ratio
54.0%
 
51.4%
 
56.0%
Home and Automobile Warranty:
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 133.1
 
$ 124.8
 
$ 103.6
Claim Ratio
63.8%
 
59.3%
 
57.9%
Other Coverages: (3)
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 90.2
 
$ 95.6
 
$ 81.6
Claim Ratio
41.3%
 
57.5%
 
61.2%
Mortgage Guaranty Group:
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 444.3
 
$ 429.5
 
$ 403.2
Claim Ratio
42.8%
 
37.2%
 
35.5%
Expense Ratio
22.5
 
22.4
 
25.6
Composite Ratio
65.3%
 
59.6%
 
61.1%
Title Insurance Group: (4)
         
Net Premiums Earned
$ 733.6
 
$ 757.2
 
$ 714.0
Combined Net Premiums & Fees Earned
$ 980.0
 
$ 1,081.8
 
$ 1,025.2
Claim Ratio
5.9%
 
6.0%
 
5.8%
Expense Ratio
93.6
 
88.2
 
90.5
Composite Ratio
99.5%
 
94.2%
 
96.3%
All Coverages Consolidated:
         
Net Premiums & Fees Earned
$ 3,400.5
 
$ 3,386.9
 
$ 3,116.1
Claim and Benefit Ratio
45.3%
 
43.3%
 
42.0%
Expense Ratio
44.7
 
45.2
 
47.3
Composite Ratio
90.0%
 
88.5%
 
89.3%
           
 
Any necessary reclassifications of prior year data are reflected in the above table to conform to current presentation.
(1) Consists principally of fidelity, surety, consumer credit indemnity, and executive indemnity (directors & officers and errors & omissions) coverages.
(2) Consists principally of commercial multi-peril and inland marine coverages.
(3) Consists principally of aviation and travel accident coverages.
(4) Title claim, expense, and composite ratios are calculated on the basis of combined net premiums and fees earned.

6
 
Variations in claim ratios are typically caused by changes in the frequency and severity of claims incurred, changes in premium rates and the level of premium refunds, and periodic changes in claim and claim expense reserve estimates resulting from ongoing reevaluations of reported and incurred but not reported claims and claim expenses. The Company can therefore experience period-to-period volatility in the underwriting results for individual coverages as demonstrated in the above table. As a result of the Company’s basic underwriting focus in the management of its business, it has attempted to dampen this volatility and thus ensure a higher degree of overall underwriting stability by diversifying the coverages it offers and industries it serves.

The claim ratios include loss adjustment expenses where appropriate. Policyholders' dividends, which apply principally to workers' compensation insurance, are a reflection of changes in loss experience for individual or groups of policies, rather than overall results, and should be viewed in conjunction with loss ratio trends.

The general insurance claims ratio reflects reasonably consistent trends for all reporting periods. This major cost factor reflects largely pricing and risk selection improvements that have been applied since 2001, together with elements of reduced loss severity and frequency. General Insurance Group loss ratios for workers' compensation and liability insurance coverages in particular may reflect greater variability due to chance events in any one year, changes in loss costs emanating from participation in involuntary markets (i.e. insurance assigned risk pools and associations in which participation is basically mandatory), and added provisions for loss costs not recoverable from assuming reinsurers which may experience financial difficulties from time to time. The Company generally underwrites concurrently workers' compensation, commercial automobile (liability and physical damage), and general liability insurance coverages for a large number of customers. Accordingly, an evaluation of trends in premiums, claims and dividend ratios for these individual coverages should be considered in the light of such a concurrent underwriting approach. With respect to commercial automobile coverages, the increase in the claims ratio during the past three years was primarily due to greater claim frequency. Better results in workers’ compensation in 2006 have been due to improved pricing in general as well as stronger growth of business subject to captive reinsurance, retrospective premium, or self-insured deductible programs that are intended to produce lower net loss ratios. The claims ratio for a relatively small book of general liability coverages has tended to be highly volatile, usually rising due to the impact of higher claims emergence and greater than anticipated severity, mostly from legacy asbestos and environmental claims exposures.

Mortgage guaranty claim ratios have continued to rise in recent years, principally reflecting higher paid losses, as well as expectations of greater claim frequency and severity. The most recent year-over-year claim ratio comparisons reflect continued upward pressure from these factors.

The title insurance claim ratio has been in the low single digits in each of the past several years due to a continuation of favorable trends in claims frequency and severity for business underwritten in the past fifteen years or so.

The consolidated claims, expense, and composite ratios reflect all the above factors and the changing period-to-period contributions of each segment to consolidated results.

General Insurance Claim Reserves

The Company's property and liability insurance subsidiaries establish claim reserves which consist of estimates to settle: a) reported claims; b) claims which have been incurred as of each balance sheet date but have not as yet been reported (“IBNR”) to the insurance subsidiaries; and c) the direct costs, (fees and costs which are allocable to individual claims) and indirect costs (such as salaries and rent applicable to the overall management of claim departments) to administer known and IBNR claims. Such claim reserves, except as to classification in the Consolidated Balance Sheets as to gross and reinsured portions, are reported for financial and regulatory reporting purposes at amounts that are substantially the same.

The establishment of claim reserves by the Company's insurance subsidiaries is a reasonably complex and dynamic process influenced by a large variety of factors. These factors principally include past experience applicable to the anticipated costs of various types of claims, continually evolving and changing legal theories emanating from the judicial system, recurring accounting, statistical, and actuarial studies, the professional experience and expertise of the Company's claim departments' personnel or attorneys and independent claim adjusters, ongoing changes in claim frequency or severity patterns such as those caused by natural disasters, illnesses, accidents, work-related injuries, and changes in general and industry-specific economic conditions. Consequently, the reserves established are a reflection of the opinions of a large number of persons, of the application and interpretation of historical precedent and trends, of expectations as to future developments, and of management’s judgment in interpreting all such factors. At any point in time the Company is exposed to possibly higher or lower than anticipated claim costs due to all of these factors, and to the evolution, interpretation, and expansion of tort law, as well as the effects of unexpected jury verdicts.
 
In establishing claim reserves, the possible increase in future loss settlement costs caused by inflation is considered implicitly, along with the many other factors cited above. Reserves are generally set to provide for the ultimate cost of all claims. With regard to workers' compensation reserves, however, the ultimate cost of long-term disability or pension-type claims is discounted to present value based on interest rates ranging from 3.5% to 4.0%. The Company, where applicable, uses only such discounted reserves in evaluating the results of its operations, in pricing its products and settling retrospective and reinsured accounts,  in evaluating policy terms  and experience, and for other general business purposes. Solely  to comply with  reporting
 
7
rules mandated by the Securities and Exchange Commission, however, Old Republic has made statistical studies of applicable workers' compensation reserves to obtain estimates of the amounts by which claim and claim adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance, have been discounted. These studies have resulted in estimates of such amounts at approximately $151.0 million, $138.3 million and $139.3 million, as of December 31, 2006, 2005 and 2004, respectively. It should be noted, however, that these differences between discounted and non-discounted (terminal) reserves are, fundamentally, of an informational nature, and are not indicative of an effect on operating results for any one or series of years for the above-noted reasons.
 
Early in 2001, the Federal Department of Labor revised the Federal Black Lung Program regulations. The revisions basically require a reevaluation of previously settled, denied, or new occupational disease claims in the context of newly devised, more lenient standards when such claims are resubmitted. Following a number of challenges and appeals by the insurance and coal mining industries, the revised regulations were, for the most part, upheld in June, 2002 and are to be applied prospectively. Since the final quarter of 2001, black lung claims filed or refiled pursuant to these anticipated and now final regulations have increased, though the volume of new claim reports has abated in recent years. The vast majority of claims filed to date against Old Republic pertain to business underwritten through loss sensitive programs that permit the charge of additional or refund of return premiums to wholly or partially offset changes in estimated claim costs, or to business underwritten as a service carrier on behalf of various industry-wide involuntary market (i.e. assigned risk) pools. A much smaller portion pertains to business produced on a traditional risk transfer basis. The Company has established applicable reserves for claims as they have been reported and for claims not as yet reported on the basis of its historical experience as well as assumptions relative to the effect of the revised regulations. Inasmuch as a variety of challenges are likely as the revised regulations are implemented through the actual claim settlement process, the potential impact on reserves, gross and net of reinsurance or retrospective premium adjustments, resulting from such regulations cannot as yet be estimated with reasonable certainty.

Old Republic's reserve estimates also include provisions for indemnity and settlement costs for various asbestosis and environmental impairment (“A&E”) claims that have been filed in the normal course of business against a number of its insurance subsidiaries. Many such claims relate to policies issued prior to 1985, including many issued during a short period between 1981 and 1982 pursuant to an agency agreement canceled in 1982. Over the years, the Company's property and liability insurance subsidiaries have typically issued general liability insurance policies with face amounts ranging between $1.0 million and $2.0 million and rarely exceeding $10.0 million. Such policies have, in turn, been subject to reinsurance cessions which have typically reduced the subsidiaries’ net retentions to $.5 million or less as to each claim. Old Republic's exposure to A&E claims cannot, however, be calculated by conventional insurance reserving methods for a variety of reasons, including: a) the absence of statistically valid data inasmuch as such claims typically involve long reporting delays and very often uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds against whom such claims have arisen or will arise; and b) the litigation history of such or similar claims for insurance industry members which has produced inconsistent court decisions with regard to such questions as to when an alleged loss occurred, which policies provide coverage, how a loss is to be allocated among potentially responsible insureds and/or their insurance carriers, how policy coverage exclusions are to be interpreted, what types of environmental impairment or toxic tort claims are covered, when the insurer's duty to defend is triggered, how policy limits are to be calculated, and whether clean-up costs constitute property damage. In recent times, the Executive Branch and/or the Congress of the United States have proposed or considered changes in the legislation and rules affecting the determination of liability for environmental and asbestosis claims. As of December 31, 2006, however, there is no solid evidence to suggest that possible future changes might mitigate or reduce some or all of these claim exposures. Because of the above issues and uncertainties, estimation of reserves for losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses for A&E claims in particular is much more difficult or impossible to quantify with a high degree of precision. Accordingly, no representation can be made that the Company's reserves for such claims and related costs will not prove to be overstated or understated in the future. At December 31, 2006, Old Republic’s aggregate indemnity and loss adjustment expense reserves specifically identified with A&E exposures amounted to approximately $194.9 million gross, and $157.8 million net of reinsurance. Based on average annual claims payments during the five most recent calendar years, such reserves represented 7.6 years (gross) and 10.9 years (net of reinsurance) of average annual claims payments. Fluctuations in this ratio between years can be caused by the inconsistent pay out patterns associated with these types of claims. For the five years ended December 31, 2006, incurred A&E claim and related loss settlement costs have averaged 3.4% of average annual General Insurance Group claims and related settlement costs.

Over the years, the subject of property and liability insurance claim reserves has been written about and analyzed extensively by a large number of professionals and regulators. Accordingly, the above discussion summary should, of necessity, be regarded as a basic outline of the subject and not as a definitive presentation. The Company believes that its overall reserving practices have been consistently applied over many years, and that its aggregate reserves have generally resulted in reasonable approximations of the ultimate net costs of claims incurred. However, no representation is made nor is any guaranty given that ultimate net claim and related costs will not develop in future years to be greater or lower than currently established reserve estimates.

The following table shows the evolving redundancies or deficiencies for reserves established as of December 31, of each of the years 1996 through 2006. In reviewing this tabular data, it should be noted that prior periods' loss payment and development trends may not be repeated in the future due to the large variety of factors influencing the reserving and settlement processes outlined herein above. The reserve redundancies or deficiencies shown for all years are not necessarily indicative of the effect on reported results of any  one or series of years since  cumulative retrospective  premium and commission adjustments  employed in
 
8
various parts of the Company's business may partially offset such effects. The moderately deficient development of reserves at year-ends 1998 to 2002 and the reduced levels of redundancies shown for year-ends 1996 and 1997, pertain mostly to claims incurred in prior accident years, generally for business written in the 1980’s. (See “Consolidated Underwriting Statistics” above, and “Reserves, Reinsurance, and Retrospective Adjustments” elsewhere herein).
 
 
($ in Millions)
(a) As of December 31:
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
(b) Liability(1) for unpaid claims
                     
and claim adjustment
                     
expenses(2):
$ 2,924
$ 2,414
$ 2,182
$ 1,964
$ 1,802
$ 1,678
$ 1,661
$ 1,699
$ 1,742
$ 1,846
$ 1,829
                       
(c) Paid (cumulative) as of (3):
                     
One year later
- %
14.2%
24.4%
24.7%
23.7%
23.6%
23.6%
22.5%
22.8%
21.3%
18.4%
Two years later
-
-
32.5
39.2
38.9
37.8
37.6
37.2
36.1
35.4
31.5
Three years later
-
-
-
44.3
48.7
48.3
46.8
46.5
45.4
43.4
40.4
Four years later
-
-
-
-
51.6
54.7
53.6
52.7
51.5
50.0
45.3
Five years later
-
-
-
-
-
55.9
58.4
57.7
56.2
54.5
50.2
Six years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
58.6
61.7
60.3
58.3
54.0
Seven years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
61.3
63.8
61.9
57.5
Eight years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
63.1
65.2
61.1
Nine years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
64.4
64.4
Ten years later
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
63.5%
(d)  Liability reestimated (i.e.,
                     
cumulative payments plus
                     
reestimated ending liability)
                     
As of (4): x
                     
One year later
- %
95.2%
97.6%
97.2%
98.6%
99.6%
97.3%
96.1%
96.2%
93.3%
94.2%
Two years later
-
-
94.8
97.0
98.2
101.3
98.1
94.9
93.3
89.2
88.5
Three years later
-
-
-
95.6
99.7
102.7
100.1
96.5
93.0
87.0
83.9
Four years later
-
-
-
-
100.4
105.8
102.2
98.0
95.1
87.1
82.4
Five years later
-
-
-
-
-
106.7
105.6
100.7
96.5
89.2
82.5
Six years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
106.9
104.2
99.4
90.6
84.7
Seven years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
105.4
103.0
93.6
86.1
Eight years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
104.1
97.0
89.3
Nine years later
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
98.0
92.8
Ten years later
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
- %
93.8%
(e)Redundancy (deficiency)(5)
                     
for each year-end at (a):
- %
4.8%
5.2%
4.4%
-0.4%
-6.7%
-6.9%
-5.4%
-4.1%
2.0%
6.2%
                       
Average for all year-ends
                     
at (a):
0.4%
                   
____________
(1)  Amounts are reported net of reinsurance.
(2)  Excluding unallocated loss adjustment expense reserves.
(3)
Percent of most recent reestimated liability (line d). Decreases in paid loss percentages may at times reflect the reassumption by the Company of certain previously ceded loss reserves from assuming reinsurers through commutations of then existing reserves.
(4)  Percent of beginning liability (line b) for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses.
(5)  Beginning liability less the most current liability reestimated (line d) as a percent of beginning liability (line b).

9
 
The following table shows an analysis of changes in aggregate reserves for the Company's property and liability insurance claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses for each of the years shown:

 
($ in Millions)
 
Years Ended December 31,
 
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
                       
(a) Beginning net reserves
$ 2,414
$ 2,182
$ 1,964
$ 1,802
$ 1,678
$ 1,661
$ 1,699
$ 1,742
$ 1,846
$ 1,829
$ 1,821
Incurred claims and claim expenses:
                     
(b) Current year provision
1,295
1,191
1,070
893
814
749
690
734
728
713
668
(c) Change in prior years’ provision
(116)
(52))
(55))
(25))
(7))
(44))
(66))
(66))
(123))
(105))
(74))
(d) Total incurred  1,179 1,138 1,014 868 807 704 623 668 604 608 593
Claim payments on:
                     
(e) Current years’ events
342
402
332
277
260
269
258
298
322
275
243
(f) Prior years’ events
326
504
463
428
423
418
402
412
385
316
342
(g) Total payments
668
907
796
706
683
687
661
710
708
591
585
                       
(h) Ending net reserves (a + d - g)
2,924
2,414
2,182
1,964
1,802
1,678
1,661
1,699
1,742
1,846
1,829
(i) Unallocated loss adjustment
                     
expense reserves
97
92
87
83
78
76
73
71
73
73
71
(j) Reinsurance recoverable on
                     
claims reserves
1,929
1,894
1,632
1,515
1,363
1,261
1,235
1,238
1,190
1,232
1,296
(k) Gross claims reserves (h + I + j)
$ 4,951
$ 4,401
$ 3,902
$ 3,562
$ 3,244
$ 3,016
$ 2,969
$ 3,009
$ 3,005
$ 3,151
$ 3,197

(b) Investments. In common with other insurance organizations, Old Republic invests most funds provided by operations in income-producing investment securities. All investments must comply with applicable insurance laws and regulations which prescribe the nature, form, quality, and relative amounts of investments which may be made by insurance companies. Generally, these laws and regulations permit insurance companies to invest within varying limitations in state, municipal and federal government obligations, corporate obligations, preferred and common stocks, certain types of real estate, and first mortgage loans. Old Republic's investment policies are also influenced by the terms of the insurance coverages written, by its expectations as to the timing of claim and benefit payments, and by income tax considerations. The following tables show invested assets at the end of the last two years, together with investment income for each of the last three years:
 
 
Consolidated Investments
($ in Millions)
December 31,
 
 
 
2006
 
2005
Available for Sale
       
Fixed Maturity Securities:
       
U.S. & Canadian Governments 
 
$ 714.7
 
$ 713.4
Tax-Exempt 
 
2,229.5
 
1,975.2
Utilities 
 
923.8
 
923.0
Corporate 
 
2,964.4
 
2,719.8
   
6,832.6
 
6,331.6
         
Equity Securities 
 
669.1
 
552.4
Short-term Investments 
 
493.6
 
275.3
Miscellaneous Investments 
 
52.7
 
62.7
Total available for sale 
 
8,048.1
 
7,222.2
         
Other Investments 
 
7.9
 
8.0
Total Investments 
 
$ 8,056.1
 
$ 7,230.2

10
 
 
Sources of Consolidated Investment Income
($ in Millions)
Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
Fixed Maturity Securities:
           
Taxable 
 
$ 222.5
 
$ 219.4
 
$ 214.0
Tax-Exempt 
 
75.5
 
64.7
 
53.1
   
298.0
 
284.1
 
267.2
             
Equity Securities 
 
13.9
 
9.4
 
14.3
             
Other Investment Income:
           
Interest on Short-term Investments 
 
26.6
 
15.9
 
5.7
Sundry 
 
6.5
 
5.4
 
6.8
   
33.1
 
21.3
 
12.5
Gross Investment Income 
 
345.1
 
315.0
 
294.1
Less: Investment Expenses (1) 
 
3.5
 
4.9
 
3.2
Net Investment Income 
 
$ 341.6
 
$ 310.1
 
$ 290.8
 
(1)  
Investment expenses consist primarily of personnel costs, investment management and custody service fees and includes interest incurred on funds held of $1.0, $.7, and $.3 for the years ended December 31, 2006, 2005, and 2004 respectively.

For many years, Old Republic's investment policy has been to acquire and retain primarily investment grade, publicly traded, fixed maturity securities. Accordingly, the Company's exposure to so-called “junk bonds”, private placements, real estate, mortgage loans, and derivatives is immaterial or non-existent. Management considers investment-grade securities to be those rated by Standard & Poor's Corporation (“Standard & Poor's”) or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (“Moody's”) that fall within the top four rating categories, or securities which are not rated but have characteristics similar to securities so rated. The Company had $4.0 million and $3.2 million of bond or note investments in default as to principal and/or interest at December 31, 2006 and 2005, respectively.

The Company's investment policies have not been designed to maximize or emphasize the realization of investment gains. Old Republic reviews the status and market value changes of each of its investments on at least a quarterly basis during the year, and estimates of other than temporary impairments in the portfolio’s value are evaluated and established at each quarterly balance sheet date. In management’s opinion, the Company’s high quality and diversified portfolio, which consists largely of publicly traded securities, has been a basic reason for the absence of major impairment provisions in the periods reported upon. The combination of gains and losses on sales of securities and such provisions or write-downs of securities are reflected as realized gains and losses in the income statement. Dispositions of securities result principally from scheduled maturities of bonds and notes and sales of fixed income and equity securities available for sale. The Company’s invested assets as of December 31, 2006 have been classified as “available for sale” pursuant to the existing investment policy.

The independent credit quality ratings and maturity distribution for Old Republic's consolidated fixed maturity investments, excluding short-term investments, at the end of the last two years are shown in the following tables. These investments, $6.8 billion and $6.3 billion at December 31, 2006 and 2005, respectively, represented approximately 54% and 55%, respectively, of consolidated assets, and 83% and 84%, respectively, of consolidated liabilities as of such dates.
 
 
Credit Quality Ratings of Fixed Maturity Securities (1)
 
   
December 31,
   
2006
 
2005
   
(% of total portfolio)
Aaa
 
32.9%
 
32.6%
Aa
 
19.0
 
18.4
A
 
26.4
 
27.9
Baa
 
20.1
 
20.2
    Total investment grade
 
98.4
 
99.1
All others (2)
 
1.6
 
.9
    Total
 
100.0%
 
100.0%
_______________
 
(1)
Credit quality ratings used are those assigned primarily by Moody’s; other ratings are assigned by Standard & Poor’s and converted to equivalent Moody’s ratings classifications.
 
(2)
“All others” includes non-investment grade or non-rated small issues of tax-exempt bonds.

11
 
 
Age Distribution of Fixed Maturity Securities
 
   
December 31,
   
2006
 
2005
   
(% of total portfolio)
Maturity Ranges:
       
Due in one year or less
 
9.6%
 
10.9%
Due after one year through five years
 
44.4
 
41.5
Due after five years through ten years
 
45.6
 
46.9
Due after ten years through fifteen years
 
.4
 
.7
Due after fifteen years
 
-
 
-
   
100.0
%
 
100.0
%
         
Average Maturity in Years
 
4.5
 
4.7
         

(c) Marketing. Commercial automobile (trucking), workers' compensation and general liability insurance underwritten for business enterprises and public entities is marketed primarily through independent insurance agents and brokers with the assistance of Old Republic's trained sales, underwriting, actuarial, and loss control personnel. The remaining property and liability commercial insurance written by Old Republic is obtained through insurance agents or brokers who are independent contractors and generally represent other insurance companies, and by direct sales. No single source accounted for over 10% of Old Republic's premium volume in 2006.

Traditional primary mortgage insurance is marketed primarily through a direct sales force which calls on mortgage bankers, brokers, commercial banks, savings institutions and other mortgage originators. No sales commissions or other forms of remuneration are paid to the lending institutions or others for the procurement or development of business.
 
The Mortgage Guaranty segment’s ten largest customers were responsible for 39.7%, 44.2%, and 41.8% of traditional primary new insurance written in 2006, 2005, and 2004, respectively. The largest single customer accounted for 8.8% of traditional primary new insurance written in 2006 compared to 11.5% and 11.7% in 2005 and 2004, respectively.

A substantial portion of the Company's title insurance business is referred to it by title insurance agents, builders, lending institutions, real estate developers, realtors, and lawyers. Title insurance and related real estate settlement products are sold through 263 Company offices and through agencies and underwritten title companies in Puerto Rico, the District of Columbia and all 50 states. The issuing agents are authorized to issue commitments and title insurance policies based on their own search and examination, or on the basis of abstracts and opinions of approved attorneys. Policies are also issued through independent title companies (not themselves title insurers) pursuant to underwriting agreements. These agreements generally provide that the agency or underwritten company may cause title policies of the Company to be issued, and the latter is responsible under such policies for any payments to the insured. Typically, the agency or underwritten title company deducts the major portion of the title insurance charge to the customer as its commission for services. During 2006, approximately 68% of title insurance premiums and fees were accounted for by policies issued by agents and underwritten title companies.

Title insurance premium and fee revenue is closely related to the level of activity in the real estate market. The volume of real estate activity is affected by the availability and cost of financing, population growth, family movements and other factors. Also, the title insurance business is seasonal. During the winter months, new building activity is reduced and, accordingly, the Company produces less title insurance business relative to new construction during such months than during the rest of the year. The most important factors, insofar as Old Republic's title business is concerned, however, are the rates of activity in the resale and refinance markets for residential properties.

The personal contacts, relationships, and reputations of Old Republic's key executives are a vital element in obtaining and retaining much of its business. Many of the Company's customers produce large amounts of premiums and therefore warrant substantial levels of top executive attention and involvement. In this respect, Old Republic's mode of operation is similar to that of professional reinsurers and commercial insurance brokers, and relies on the marketing, underwriting, and management skills of relatively few key people for large parts of its business.

Several types of insurance coverages underwritten by Old Republic, such as consumer credit indemnity, title, and mortgage guaranty insurance, are affected in varying degrees by changes in national economic conditions. During periods of economic recession or rising interest rates, operating and/or claim costs pertaining to such coverages tend to rise disproportionately to revenues and generally result in reduced levels of profitability.
 
12
 
At least one Old Republic general insurance subsidiary is licensed to do business in each of the 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, Guam, and each of the Canadian provinces; mortgage insurance subsidiaries are licensed in 50 states and the District of Columbia; title insurance operations are licensed to do business in 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and Guam. Consolidated direct premium volume distributed among the various geographical regions shown was as follows for the past three years:

 
Geographical Distribution of Consolidated Direct Premiums Written
 
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
United States:
         
  Northeast
8.4
%
 
9.2
%
 
9.1
%
  Mid-Atlantic
8.8
   
9.5
   
8.9
 
  Southeast
21.1
   
19.8
   
18.8
 
  Southwest
12.8
   
11.8
   
11.8
 
  East North Central
13.3
   
13.3
   
14.6
 
  West North Central
13.0
   
12.7
   
12.7
 
  Mountain
8.1
   
7.7
   
7.6
 
  Western
11.8
   
13.4
   
14.2
 
Foreign (Principally Canada)
2.7
   
2.6
   
2.3
 
     Total
100.0
%
 
100.0
%
 
100.0
%

(d) Reserves, Reinsurance, and Retrospective Adjustments. Old Republic's insurance subsidiaries establish reserves for unearned premiums, reported claims, claims incurred but not reported, and claim adjustment expenses, as required in the circumstances. Such reserves are based on regulatory accounting requirements and generally accepted accounting principles. In accordance with insurance industry practices, claim reserves are based on estimates of the amounts that will be paid over a period of time and changes in such estimates are reflected in the financial statements of the periods when they occur. See “General Insurance Claim Reserves” herein.

To maintain premium production within its capacity and limit maximum losses and risks for which it might become liable under its policies, Old Republic, as is the practice in the insurance industry, may cede a portion or all of its premiums and liabilities on certain classes of insurance, individual policies, or blocks of business to other insurers and reinsurers. Although the ceding of insurance does not generally discharge an insurer from its direct liability to a policyholder, it is industry practice to establish the reinsured part of risks as the liability of the reinsurer. Old Republic also employs retrospective premium adjustments and risk-sharing arrangements for parts of its business in order to minimize losses for which it might become liable under its insurance policies, and to afford its customers or producers a degree of participation in the risks and rewards associated with such business. Under retrospective arrangements, Old Republic collects additional premiums if losses are greater than originally anticipated and refunds a portion of original premiums if loss costs are lower. Pursuant to risk-sharing arrangements, the Company adjusts production costs or premiums retroactively to likewise reflect deviations from originally expected loss costs. The amount of premium, production costs and other retrospective adjustments which may be made is either limited or unlimited depending on the Company's evaluation of risks and related contractual arrangements. To the extent that any reinsurance companies, retrospectively rated risks, or producers might be unable to meet their obligations under existing reinsurance, retrospective insurance and production agreements, Old Republic would be liable for the defaulted amounts. In these regards, however, the Company generally protects itself by withholding funds, by securing indemnity agreements, by obtaining surety bonds, or by otherwise collateralizing such obligations through irrevocable letters of credit, cash, or securities.

Reinsurance recoverable asset balances represent amounts due from or credited by assuming reinsurers for paid and unpaid claims and policy reserves. Such reinsurance balances as are recoverable from non-admitted foreign and certain other reinsurers such as captive insurance companies owned by assureds or business producers, as well as similar balances or credits arising from policies that are retrospectively rated or subject to assureds’ high deductible retentions are substantially collateralized by letters of credit, securities, and other financial instruments. Old Republic evaluates on a regular basis the financial condition of its assuming reinsurers and assureds who purchase its retrospectively rated or high deductible policies. Estimates of unrecoverable amounts are included in the Company’s net claim and claim expense reserves since reinsurance, retrospectively rated and self-insured deductible policies and contracts do not relieve Old Republic from its direct obligations to assureds or their beneficiaries.

Old Republic's reinsurance practices with respect to portions of its business also result from its desire to bring its sponsoring organizations and customers into some degree of joint venture or risk sharing relationship. The Company may, in exchange for a ceding commission, reinsure up to 100% of the underwriting risk, and the premium applicable to such risk, to insurers owned by or affiliated with lending institutions, financial and other intermediaries whose customers are insured by Old Republic, or individual customers who have formed captive insurance companies. The ceding commissions received compensate Old Republic for performing the direct insurer's functions of underwriting, actuarial, claim settlement, loss control, legal, reinsurance, and administrative services to comply with local and federal regulations, and for providing appropriate risk management services.

13
 
Remaining portions of Old Republic's business are reinsured in most instances with independent insurance or reinsurance companies pursuant to excess of loss agreements. Except as noted in the following paragraph, reinsurance protection on property and liability operations generally limits the net loss on most individual claims to a maximum of (in whole dollars): $1,800,000 for workers' compensation; $1,800,000 for commercial auto liability; $1,800,000 for general liability; $4,600,000 for executive protection (directors & officers and errors & omissions); $1,000,000 for aviation; and $1,000,000 for property coverages. Substantially all the mortgage guaranty insurance risk is retained, with the exposure on any one risk currently averaging approximately $23,000, though portions of the business are also ceded to captive reinsurers on an excess of loss basis in most instances. Title insurance risk assumptions are currently limited to a maximum of $100.0 million as to any one policy. The vast majority of title policies issued, however, carry exposures of $500,000 or less.

Due to worldwide reinsurance capacity and related cost constraints, effective January 1, 2002, the Company began retaining exposures for all, but most predominantly workers’ compensation liability insurance coverages in excess of $40.0 million that were previously assumed by unaffiliated reinsurers for up to $100.0 million. Effective January 1, 2003, reinsurance ceded limits were raised once again to the $100.0 million level, and as of January 1, 2005, they were further increased to $200.0 million. Pursuant to regulatory requirements, however, all workers’ compensation primary insurers such as the Company remain liable for unlimited amounts in excess of reinsured limits. Other than the substantial concentration of workers’ compensation losses caused by the September 11, 2001 terrorist attack on America, to the best of the Company’s knowledge there had not been a similar accumulation of claims in a single location from a single occurrence prior to that event. Nevertheless, the possibility continues to exist that non-reinsured losses could, depending on a wide range of severity and frequency assumptions, aggregate several hundred million dollars to an insurer such as the Company in the event a catastrophe, such as caused by an earthquake, lead to the death or injury of a large number of employees concentrated in a single facility such as a high rise building.

As a result of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attack on America, the reinsurance industry eliminated coverage from substantially all contracts for claims arising from acts of terrorism. Primary insurers such as the Company thereby became fully exposed to such claims. Late in 2002, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (the “TRIA”) was signed into law, immediately establishing a temporary federal reinsurance program administered by the Secretary of Treasury. The program applies to insured commercial property and casualty losses resulting from an act of terrorism, as defined in the TRIA. Congress extended and modified the program in late 2005 through the Terrorism Risk Insurance Extension Act of 2005 (the “TRIEA”). The temporary program will now sunset on December 31, 2007 if not extended or replaced by similar legislation. The TRIA automatically voided all policy exclusions which were in effect for terrorism related losses and obligated insurers to offer terrorism coverage with most commercial property and casualty insurance lines. The TRIEA revised the definition of “property and casualty insurance” to exclude commercial automobile, burglary and theft, surety, professional liability and farm owners multi-peril insurance. Although insurers are permitted to charge an additional premium for terrorism coverage, insureds may reject the coverage. Under TRIEA, the program’s protection is not triggered for losses arising from an act of terrorism after March 31, 2006 until the industry first suffers losses of $50 billion in the aggregate in 2006. The program trigger amount increases to $100 billion for 2007. Once the program trigger is met, the program will pay 90% of an insurer’s terrorism losses that exceed that individual insurer’s deductible. The federal share drops to 85% for 2007. The insurer’s deductible is 17.5% of direct earned premium on property and casualty insurance for 2006 and increases to 20% for 2007. Insurers may reinsure that portion of the risk they retain under the program, but the reinsurance market has not displayed a widespread willingness to accept such risks. To date, coverage for acts of terrorism are excluded from substantially all the Company’s reinsurance treaties and are effectively retained by it subject to any recovery that would be collected under the temporary federal reinsurance program.

(e) Competition. The insurance business is highly competitive and Old Republic competes with many stock and mutual insurance companies. Many of these competitors offer more insurance coverages and have substantially greater financial resources than the Company. The rates charged for many of the insurance coverages in which the Company specializes, such as workers' compensation insurance, other property and liability insurance and title insurance, are primarily regulated by the states and are also subject to extensive competition among major insurance organizations. The basic methods of competition available to Old Republic, aside from rates, are service to customers, ex-pertise in tailoring insurance programs to the specific needs of its clients, efficiency and flexibility of operations, personal involvement by its key executives, and, as to title insurance, accuracy and timely delivery of evidences of title issued. Mortgage insurance companies also compete by providing contract underwriting services to lenders, enabling the latter to improve the efficiency of their operations by outsourcing all or part of their mortgage loan underwriting processes. For certain types of coverages, including loan credit indemnity and mortgage guaranty insurance, the Company also competes in varying degrees with the Federal Housing Administration (“FHA”) and the Veterans Administration (“VA”). In these regards, the Company's insurance subsidiaries compete with the FHA and VA by offering different coverages and by establishing different requirements relative to such factors as interest rates, closing costs, and loan processing charges. The Company believes its experience and expertise have enabled it to develop a variety of specialized insurance programs and related services for its customers, and to secure state insurance departments' approval of these programs.

(f) Government Regulation. In common with all insurance companies, the Company's insurance subsidiaries are subject to the regulation and supervision of the jurisdictions in which they do business. The method of such regulation varies, but, generally, regulation has been delegated to state insurance commissioners who are granted broad administrative powers relating to: the licensing of insurers and their agents; the nature of and limitations on investments; approval of policy forms; reserve requirements; and trade practices. In addition to these types of regulation, many classes of insurance, including most of the Company's insurance coverages, are subject to rate regulations which require that rates be reasonable, adequate, and not unfairly discriminatory.
 
14
The Federal National Mortgage Association (“FNMA” or “Fannie Mae”) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (“FHLMC” or “Freddie Mac”) have various qualifying requirements for private mortgage guaranty insurers which write mortgage insurance on loans ac-quired by the FNMA and FHLMC from mortgage lenders. These requirements call for compliance with the applicable laws and regulations of the insurer’s domiciliary state and those states in which it conducts business and maintenance of contingency reserves in accordance with applicable state laws. The requirements also contain guidelines pertaining to captive reinsurance transactions.
 
The majority of states have also enacted insurance holding company laws which require registration and periodic reporting by insurance companies controlled by other corporations licensed to transact business within their respective jurisdictions. Old Republic's insurance subsidiaries are subject to such legislation and are registered as controlled insurers in those jurisdictions in which such registration is required. Such legislation varies from state to state but typically requires periodic disclosure concerning the corporation which controls the registered insurers, or ultimate holding company, and all subsidiaries of the ultimate holding company, and prior approval of certain intercorporate transfers of assets (including payments of dividends in excess of specified amounts by the insurance subsidiary) within the holding company system. Each state has established minimum capital and surplus requirements to conduct an insurance business. All of the Company's subsidiaries meet or exceed these requirements, which vary from state to state.

(g) Employees. As of December 31, 2006, Old Republic employed approximately 6,370 persons on a full time basis. A majority of eligible full time employees participate in various pension or similar plans which provide benefits payable upon retirement. Eligible employees are also covered by hospitalization and major medical insurance, group life insurance, and various savings, profit sharing, and deferred compensation plans. The Company considers its employee relations to be good.

(h) Website access. The Company files various reports with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including its annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, proxy statements, and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Exchange Act. The Company’s filings are available for viewing and/or copying at the SEC’s Public Reference Room located at 450 Fifth Street, NW., Washington, DC 20549. Information regarding the operation of the Public Reference Room can be obtained by calling 1-800-SEC-0330. The Company’s reports are also available by visiting the SEC’s internet website (http://www.sec.gov) and accessing its EDGAR database to view or print copies of the electronic versions of the Company’s reports. Additionally, the Company’s reports can be obtained, free of charge, by visiting its internet website (http://www.oldrepublic.com), selecting Financial Data and the EDGAR Filings hyperlink to access the SEC’s EDGAR database to view or print copies of the electronic versions of the Company’s reports. The contents of the Company’s internet website are not intended to be, nor shall they be considered incorporated by reference in any of the reports the Company files with the SEC.

Item 1A - Risk Factors

Risk factors are uncertainties and events over which the Company has limited or no control, and which can have a materially adverse effect on its business, results of operations or financial condition. The Company and its business segments are subject to a variety of risk factors and, within individual segments, each type of insurance coverage may be exposed to varying risk factors. The following sections set forth management’s evaluation of the most prevalent material risk factors for the Company as a whole and for each business segment. There may be risks, which management does not presently consider material or relative to which it has no present knowledge, that may later prove to be material risk factors as well.
 
Parent Company

Dividend Dependence and Liquidity

The Company is an insurance holding company with no operations of its own. Its principal assets consist of the business conducted by its insurance subsidiaries. It relies upon dividends from such subsidiaries in order to pay the interest and principal on its debt obligations, dividends to its shareholders and corporate expenses. The ability of the insurance subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends is subject to regulations under state laws that limit dividends based on the amount of their adjusted unassigned surplus, and require them to maintain minimum amounts of capital, surplus and reserves. Dividends in excess of the ordinary limitations can only be declared and paid with prior regulatory approval, of which there can be no assurance. The inability of the insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends in an amount sufficient to meet debt service and cash dividends on stock, as well as other cash requirements of the Company could result in liquidity issues for Old Republic.

15
 
Investment Risks

The Company’s invested assets and those of its subsidiaries are centrally managed through a wholly-owned asset management subsidiary. Most of the investments consist of fixed-maturity securities. Changes in interest rates directly affect the income from, and the market value of fixed-maturity investments and could reduce the value of the Company’s investment portfolio and adversely affect the Company’s, and its subsidiaries’, results of operations and financial condition. A smaller percentage of total investments are in indexed funds and actively managed equities. A change in general economic conditions, the stock market, or many other external factors could adversely affect the value of those investments and, in turn, the Company’s, or its subsidiaries’ results and financial condition. Further, the Company manages its fixed-maturity investments by taking into account the maturities of such securities and the anticipated liquidity needs of the Company and its subsidiaries. Should the Company suddenly experience greater than anticipated liquidity needs for any reason, it could face a liquidity risk that may adversely affect its financial condition or operating results.

Risk Factors Common to All Subsidiaries

Excessive Losses and Loss Expenses

Although the Company’s three major business segments encompass different types of insurance, the greatest risk factor common to all insurance coverages is excessive losses due to unanticipated claims frequency, severity or a combination of both. Many of the factors affecting the frequency and severity of claims depend upon the type of insurance coverage, but others are shared in common. Severity and frequency can be affected by unexpectedly adverse outcomes in claims litigation, often as a result of unanticipated jury verdicts, changes in court-made law, adverse court interpretations of insurance policy provisions resulting in increased liability or new judicial theories of liability, together with unexpectedly high costs of defending claims.

Inadequate Reserves

Reserves are the amounts that an insurance company sets aside for its anticipated policy liabilities. Claim reserves are an estimate of liability for unpaid claims and claims defense and adjustment expenses, and cover both reported as well as incurred, but not yet reported claims. It is not possible to calculate precisely what these liabilities will amount to in advance and, therefore, the reserves represent a best estimate at any point in time. Such estimates are based upon known historical loss data and expectations of future trends in claims frequency, severity, interest rates and other considerations which in turn are affected by a large variety of factors over which insurers have little or no control. Reserve estimates are periodically reviewed in light of known developments and, where necessary, adjusted and refined as circumstances may warrant. Nevertheless, the reserve-setting process is inherently uncertain. If for any of these reasons reserve estimates prove to be inadequate, the Company’s subsidiaries can be forced to increase their reported liabilities; such an occurrence could result in a materially adverse impact on their results of operations and financial condition.

Inadequate Pricing

Premium rates are generally determined on the basis of historical data for claims frequency and severity as well as related production and other expense patterns. In the event ultimate claims and expenses exceed historically projected levels, premium rates are likely to prove insufficient. Premium rate inadequacy may not become evident quickly and may require time to correct. Inadequate premiums, much like excessive losses, if material, can adversely affect the Company’s business, operating results and financial condition.

Liquidity Risk

As indicated above, the Company manages its fixed-maturity investments with a view toward matching the maturities of those investments with the anticipated liquidity needs of its subsidiaries for the payment of claims and expenses. If a subsidiary suddenly experienced greater-than-anticipated liquidity needs for any reason, it could require an injection of funds that might not necessarily be available to the Company to meet its obligations at a point in time.

Regulatory Environment

The Company’s insurance businesses are subject to extensive governmental regulation in all of the state and similar jurisdictions in which they operate. These regulations relate to such matters as licensing requirements, types of insurance products that may be sold, premium rates, marketing practices, capital and surplus requirements, investment limitations, underwriting limitations, dividend payment limitations, transactions with affiliates, accounting practices, taxation and other matters. While most of the regulation is at the state level, the federal government has increasingly expressed an interest in regulating the insurance business and has injected itself through the Graham-Leach-Bliley Act, the Patriot Act, financial services regulation, changes in the Internal Revenue Code and other legislation. All of these regulations raise the costs of conducting an insurance business through increased compliance expenses. Furthermore, as existing regulations evolve through administrative and court interpretations, and as new regulations are adopted, there can be no way of predicting what impact these changes will have on the Company’s businesses in the future, and the impact could adversely affect the Company’s profitability and limit its growth.

16
 
Competition

Each of the Company’s lines of insurance business is highly competitive and is likely to remain so for the foreseeable future. Moreover, existing competitors and the capital markets have brought an influx of capital and newly-organized entrants into the industry in recent years, and changes in laws have allowed financial institutions, like banks and savings and loans, to sell insurance products. Increases in competition threaten to reduce demand for the Company’s insurance products, reduce its market share, reduce its growth, reduce its profitability and generally adversely affect its results of operations and financial condition.

Rating Downgrades

The competitive positions of insurance companies, in general, have come to depend increasingly on independent ratings of their financial strength and claims-paying ability. The rating agencies base their ratings on criteria they establish regarding an insurer’s financial strength, operating performance, strategic position and ability to meet its obligations to policyholders. A significant downgrade in the ratings of any of the Company’s major policy-issuing subsidiaries could negatively impact their ability to compete for new business and retain existing business and, as a result, adversely affect their results of operations and financial condition.

Financial Institutions Risk

The Company’s subsidiaries have significant business relationships with financial institutions, particularly national banks. The subsidiaries are the beneficiaries of a considerable amount of security in the form of letters of credit which they hold as collateral securing the obligations of insureds and certain reinsurers. Some of the banks themselves have subsidiaries that reinsure the Company’s business. Other banks are depositories holding large sums of money in escrow accounts established by the Company’s title subsidiaries. There is thus a risk of concentrated financial exposures in one or more such banking institutions. If any of these institutions fail or are unable to honor their credit obligations, or if escrowed funds become lost or tied up due to the failure of a bank, the result could be adverse to the Company’s business, results of operations and financial condition.

In addition to the foregoing, the following are risk factors that are particular to each of the Company’s three major business segments.

General Insurance Group

Catastrophic Losses

While the Company limits the property exposures it writes, the casualty or liability insurance it underwrites creates an exposure to claims arising out of catastrophes. The two principal catastrophe exposures are earthquakes and acts of terrorism in areas where there are large concentrations of employees of an insured employer or other individuals who could potentially be injured and assert claims against an insured.

Following the September 11, 2001 terrorist attack, the reinsurance industry eliminated coverage from substantially all reinsurance contracts for claims arising from acts of terrorism. The Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (“TRIA”) subsequently passed by the U. S. Congress required primary insurers to offer coverage for certified acts of terrorism under most commercial property and casualty insurance policies. Although TRIA established a temporary federal reinsurance program through December 31, 2005, a program which has recently been extended for two more years but with reduced coverage, primary insurers like the Company’s general insurance subsidiaries retain significant exposure for terrorist act-related losses.

Long-Tailed Losses

Coverage for general liability is considered long-tailed coverage. Written in most cases on an “occurrence” basis, it often takes longer for the claims to be reported and become known, adjusted and settled than it does for property claims, for example, which are generally considered short-tailed. The extremely long-tailed aspect of such claims as pollution, asbestos, silicosis, manganism (welding rod fume exposure), black lung, lead paint and other toxic tort claims, coupled with uncertain and sometimes variable judicial rulings on coverage and policy allocation issues and the possibility of legislative actions, makes reserving for these exposures highly uncertain. While the Company believes that it has reasonably estimated its liabilities for such exposures to date, and that its exposures are relatively modest, there is a risk of materially adverse developments in both known and as-yet-unknown claims.

Workers’ Compensation Coverage

Workers’ compensation coverage is the second largest line of insurance written within the Company. The frequency and severity of claims under, and the adequacy of reserves for workers’ compensation claims and expenses can all be significantly influenced by such risk factors as future wage inflation in states that index benefits, the speed with which injured employees are able to return to work in some capacity, the cost and rate of inflation in medical treatments, the types of medical procedures and treatments, the cost of prescription medications, the frequency with which closed claims reopen for additional or related medical issues, the mortality of injured workers with lifetime benefits and medical treatments, the use of health insurance to cover some of the expenses, the assumption of some of the expenses by states’ second injury funds, the use of cost containment practices like preferred provider networks, and the opportunities to recover against third parties through subrogation. Adverse developments in any of these factors, if significant, could have a materially adverse effect on the Company’s operating results and financial condition.
 
17
Reinsurance

Reinsurance is a contractual arrangement whereby one insurer (the reinsurer) assumes some or all of the risk exposure written by another insurer (the reinsured). The Company uses reinsurance to manage its risks both in terms of the amount of coverage it is able to write, the amount it is able to retain for its own account, and the price at which it is able to write it. The availability of reinsurance and its price, however, are determined in the reinsurance market by conditions beyond the Company’s control.

Reinsurance does not relieve the reinsured company of its primary liability to its insureds in the event of a loss. It merely reimburses the reinsured company. The ability and willingness of reinsurers to honor their obligations represent credit risks inherent in reinsurance transactions. The Company addresses these risks by limiting its reinsurance to those reinsurers it considers the best credit risks. In recent years, however, there has been an ever-decreasing number of reinsurers considered to be acceptable risks by the Company.

There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to find the desired or even adequate amounts of reinsurance at favorable rates from acceptable reinsurers in the future. If unable to do so, the Company would be forced to reduce the volume of business it writes or retain increased amounts of liability exposure. Because of the declining number of reinsurers the Company finds acceptable, there is a risk that too much reinsurance risk may become concentrated in too few reinsurers. Each of these results could adversely affect the Company’s business, results of operations and financial condition.

Insureds as Credit Risks

A significant amount of the Company’s liability and workers’ compensation business, particularly for large commercial insureds, is written on the basis of risk-sharing underwriting methods utilizing large deductibles, captive insurance risk retentions, or other arrangements whereby the insureds effectively retain and fund varying and at times significant amounts of their losses. Their financial strength and ability to pay are carefully evaluated as part of the underwriting process and monitored periodically thereafter, and their retained exposures are estimated and collateralized based on pertinent credit analysis and evaluation. Because the Company is primarily liable for losses incurred under its policies, the possible failure or inability of insureds to honor their retained liability represents a credit risk. Any subsequently developing shortage in the amount of collateral held would also be a risk, as would the failure or inability of a bank to honor a letter of credit issued as collateral. These risk factors could have a material adverse impact on the Company’s results of operations and financial condition.

Guaranty Funds and Residual Markets

In nearly all states, licensed property and casualty insurers are required to participate in guaranty funds through assessments covering a portion of insurance claims against impaired or insolvent property and casualty insurers. Any increase in the number or size of impaired companies would likely result in an increase in the Company’s share of such assessments.

Many states have established second-injury funds that compensate injured employees for aggravation of prior injuries or conditions. These second-injury funds are funded by assessments or premium surcharges.

Residual market or pooling arrangements exist in many states to provide various types of insurance coverage to those that are otherwise unable to find private insurers willing to insure them. All licensed property and casualty insurers writing such coverage voluntarily are required to participate in these residual market or pooling mechanisms.

A material increase in any of these assessments or charges could adversely affect the Company’s results of operations and financial condition.

Prior Approval of Rates

Most of the lines of insurance underwritten by the Company are subject to prior regulatory approval of premium rates in a majority of the states. The process of securing regulatory approval can be time consuming and can impair the Company’s ability to effect necessary rate increases in an expeditious manner. Furthermore, there is a risk that the regulators will not approve a requested increase, particularly in regard to workers’ compensation insurance with respect to which rate increases often confront strong opposition from local business and political interests.

18
 
Mortgage Guaranty Group

Housing and Mortgage Lending Markets

Any significant development which adversely affects the housing and related mortgage lending markets could be a risk factor for the Company’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries. Rising mortgage interest rates, increases in unemployment or recessions and the general health of the national or regional economies are all factors that could result in a decline of new business. A significant downturn in the economy and rising unemployment could also result in an increase in mortgage defaults and, in turn, an increase in claims under the subsidiaries’ policies. Declining home values could also result in greater severity of claim costs. The affordability and rate of housing price escalation are also factors because mortgage insurance generally applies only to mortgage loans with loan-to-value ratios exceeding 80%.

On the other hand, low interest rates can also be a risk factor inasmuch as they can threaten persistency of coverage. Declining rates can encourage mortgage refinance activity. When a mortgage loan insured by the Company is refinanced, there is a risk the lender will replace the Company’s coverage with coverage written by another mortgage insurer or, alternatively, that coverage may no longer be necessary in the event that price appreciation of the property has served to reduce the loan-to-value ratio below 80%. Each of these factors, if significant enough, could have a materially adverse affect on the business, results of operations and financial condition of the Company’s mortgage guaranty subsidiaries.

Competition

Competition is always a risk factor and comes not only from the six other mortgage insurers which comprise the industry, but also from government-sponsored enterprises (“GSE”), such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the insured mortgage lenders themselves. The market for private mortgage insurance exists primarily as a result of restrictions within the federal charters of the GSEs which require an acceptable form of credit enhancement on loans purchased by the GSEs that have loan to value (LTV) ratios in excess of 80%. These institutions establish the levels of required coverage, the underwriting standards for the loans they will purchase and the loss mitigation efforts that must be followed on insured loans. Changes in any of these respects can result in a reduction of the Mortgage Guaranty Group’s business or an increase in its claim costs.

Lender consolidation has resulted in fewer lenders originating a greater share of all mortgage loans. In 2006, 47% of all mortgage loans were purchased or originated by the top 5 nationwide lenders. Consequently, mortgage insurance business is increasingly becoming controlled by a small number of nationwide mortgage lenders, some of which have reduced the number of mortgage insurers they do business with, thus increasing competition among the insurers.

Increasingly, mortgage lenders have organized their own captive reinsurers as a means of extending their business to the underwriting of mortgage guaranty risks. Through such captives they provide excess of loss, and in some cases, quota share reinsurance protection to the mortgage guaranty insurers such as the Company’s subsidiaries in this segment. This involvement is a competitive risk factor inasmuch as it reduces the amount of business that the Company could otherwise retain.

Other competitive risk factors faced by the Company’s Mortgage Guaranty Group stem from certain credit enhancement alternatives to private mortgage insurance. These include:

·  
the use of so-called piggy-back or 80-10-10 type mortgage loan extensions whose effect is to eliminate the need for mortgage guaranty insurance by structuring the mortgage note as an 80% loan-to-value first mortgage;

·  
the retention of mortgage loans on an uninsured basis in the lender’s portfolio of assets;

·  
the use of alternative mortgage insurance programs such as those afforded by the Federal Housing and Veterans Administrations; and

·  
capital markets utilizing alternative credit enhancements.

Litigation and Regulation

The possibly adverse effect of litigation and regulation are ever present risk factors. Captive reinsurance and other risk-participating structures with mortgage lenders have been challenged in recent years as potential violations of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (“RESPA”). From time to time, the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development has considered adopting RESPA regulations which would have adversely impacted mortgage insurance by requiring that the premiums be combined with all other settlement service charges in a single package fee. Adverse litigation or regulatory developments could have a materially adverse effect on the Company’s mortgage guaranty business, results of operations and financial condition.

19
 
Title Insurance Group

Housing and Mortgage Lending Markets

The fortunes of title insurance are even more directly tied to the level of real estate activity than are those of mortgage insurance. The principal risk factor for title insurance is a decline in residential real estate activity. The major factors that can impact real estate activity adversely include:

·  
high or rising mortgage interest rates;

·  
high or rising unemployment;

·  
any downturn in a regional or the national economy, any reduction in the availability or affordability of housing, as well as, any precipitous decline in housing prices;

·  
any reduction in mortgage refinancing activity; and

·  
any reduction in the availability of mortgage funding.

A significant adverse development among any of these risk factors could have a materially adverse effect on the Company’s title insurance business, results of operations and financial condition.

Competition

Business comes to title insurers primarily by referral from real estate agents, lenders, developers and other settlement providers. The sources of business lead to a great deal of competition among title insurers. Although the top five title insurance companies account for about 90% of industry-wide premium volume, there are numerous smaller companies representing the remainder at the regional and local levels. The smaller companies are an ever-present competitive risk in the regional and local markets where their business connections can give them a competitive edge. Moreover, there is almost always competition among the major companies for key employees, especially those who are engaged in the production side of the business.

Regulation and Litigation

Regulation is also a risk factor for title insurers. The title insurance industry has recently been, and continues to be, under intense regulatory scrutiny in a number of states with respect to pricing practices, and possible RESPA violations and unlawful rebating practices. The regulatory investigations could lead to industry-wide reductions in premium rates and escrow fees, the inability to get rate increases when necessary, as well as to changes that could adversely affect the Company’s ability to compete for or retain business or raise the costs of additional regulatory compliance.

As with the Company’s other business segments, litigation poses a risk factor. Recent litigation in a number of states seeks class certification in actions against a number of title insurers alleging violations of rate applications in those states with respect to title insurance issued in certain mortgage refinancing transactions.

Other Risks

Inadequate title searches are among the risk factors faced by the entire industry. If a title search is conducted thoroughly and accurately, there should theoretically never be a claim. When the search is less than thorough or complete, title defects can go undetected and claims result.

To a lesser extent, fraud is also a risk factor for all title companies -- sometimes in the form of an agent’s or an employee’s defalcation of escrowed funds, sometimes in the form of fraudulently issued title insurance policies.

Item 1B - Unresolved Staff Comments

None

Item 2 - Properties

The principal executive offices of the Company are located in the Old Republic Building in Chicago, Illinois. This Company-owned building contains 151,000 square feet of floor space of which approximately 57% is occupied by Old Republic, and the remainder is leased to others. In addition to the Company-owned principal executive offices, a subsidiary of the Title Insurance Group partially occupies its owned headquarters building. This building contains 110,000 square feet of floor space of which approximately 65% is occupied by the Old Republic National Title Insurance Company. The remainder of the building is leased to others. Eleven smaller buildings are owned by Old Republic and its subsidiaries in various parts of the country and are primarily used for its business. The carrying value of all owned buildings and related land at December 31, 2006 was approximately $39.3 million.
 
20
Certain other operations of the Company and its subsidiaries are directed from leased premises. See Note 4(b) of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a summary of all material lease obligations.

Item 3 - Legal Proceedings

Legal proceedings against the Company arise in the normal course of business and usually pertain to claim matters related to insurance policies and contracts issued by its in-surance subsidiaries. Other legal proceedings are discussed below.

Purported class actions have been filed against the Company’s principal title insurance subsidiary, Old Republic National Title Insurance Company (“ORNTIC”) in state courts in Connecticut, Florida, New Jersey, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. The plaintiffs allege that, pursuant to rate schedules filed by ORNTIC or by state rating bureaus with the state insurance regulators, ORNTIC was required to, but failed to give consumers reissue credits on the premiums charged for title insurance covering mortgage refinancing transactions. Substantially similar lawsuits have been filed against other unaffiliated title insurance companies in these and other states as well. The actions seek damages and declaratory and injunctive relief. ORNTIC has reached a tentative settlement in Florida for an amount not to exceed $1.2 million, exclusive of attorneys’ fees and costs. ORNTIC intends to defend vigorously against the actions in the other states as well but, at this stage in the litigation, the Company cannot estimate the ultimate costs it may incur as the actions proceed to their conclusions.

An action was filed in the Federal District Court for South Carolina against the Company’s wholly-owned mortgage guaranty insurance subsidiary, Republic Mortgage Insurance Company (“RMIC”). Similar lawsuits have been filed against the other six private mortgage insurers in different Federal District Courts. The action against RMIC sought certification of a nationwide class of consumers who were allegedly required to pay for private mortgage insurance at a cost greater than RMIC’s “best available rate”. The action alleges that the decision to insure their loans at a higher rate was based on the consumers’ credit scores and constituted an “adverse action” within the meaning, and in violation of the Fair Credit Reporting Act, that requires notice, allegedly not given, to the consumers. The action sought statutory and punitive damages, as well as other costs. A settlement agreement was reached in the action on November 29, 2006 and awaits final court approval. While the ultimate cost of the settlement will depend upon the number of consumers who participate, the Company reasonably expects the cost to be under $1 million.

Item 4 - Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

None.

PART II

Item 5 - Market for the Registrant's Common Equity, Related Security Holder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

The Company's common stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “ORI”. The high and low closing prices as reported on the New York Stock Exchange, and cash dividends declared for each quarterly period during the past two years were as follows:

   
Closing Price
 
Cash
   
High
 
Low
 
Dividends
1st quarter
2005
$
20.10
 
$
18.41
 
$
.104
2nd quarter
2005
 
20.39
   
17.85
   
.136
3rd quarter
2005
 
21.34
   
20.02
   
.136
4th quarter
2005
 
22.44
   
19.88
   
.136
Special Dec.
2005
$
-
 
$
-
 
$
.800
(1)
                     
1st quarter
2006
$
22.35
 
$
20.72
 
$
.140
 
2nd quarter
2006
 
22.35
   
20.20
   
.150
 
3rd quarter
2006
 
22.15
   
20.79
   
.150
 
4th quarter
2006
$
23.50
 
$
22.04
 
$
.150
 
_______________
(1) In December, 2005 a special cash dividend of $.800 per share (adjusted for a concurrent 25% stock dividend of the Company’s
     common stock) was declared and paid.

As of January 31, 2007, there were 2,931 registered holders of the Company's Common Stock. See Note 3(b) of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a description of certain regulatory restrictions on the payment of dividends by Old Republic's insurance subsidiaries. Closing prices have been restated, as necessary, to reflect all stock dividends and splits declared through December 31, 2006.

The Company made no common stock repurchases during 2006 under its common stock repurchase plan.

21
 
Comparative Five-Year Performance Graph for Common Stock

The following table, prepared on the basis of market and related data furnished by Standard & Poor's Total Return Service, reflects total market return data for the most recent five calendar years ended December 31, 2006. For purposes of the presentation, the information is shown in terms of $100 invested at the close of trading on the last trading day preceding the first day of the fifth preceding year. The $100 investment is deemed to have been made either in Old Republic Common Stock, in the S&P 500 Index of common stocks, or in an aggregate of the common shares of the Peer Group of publicly held insurance businesses selected by Old Republic. In each instance the cumulative total return assumes reinvestment of cash dividends on a pretax basis.

The information utilized to prepare this table has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made that it is accurate or complete in all respects.

Comparison of Five Year Total Market Return
OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION vs. S&P 500 vs. Peer Group
(For the five years ended December 31, 2006)

 

Comparison of 5 Year Total Market Return Performance Graph
 
 
 
Dec 01
 
 
 
Dec 02
 
 
 
Dec 03
 
 
 
Dec 04
 
 
 
Dec 05
 
 
 
Dec 06
 
ORI
$100.00
 
$102.09
 
$145.28
 
$147.91
 
$163.47
 
$186.10
S&P 500
100.00
 
77.90
 
100.25
 
111.15
 
116.61
 
135.03
Peer Group 1
100.00
 
84.33
 
104.64
 
115.36
 
134.56
 
151.55
Peer Group 2
100.00
 
85.94
 
107.62
 
120.30
 
140.58
 
158.38
 

 
Peer Group 1 consists of the following publicly held corporations selected by the Company for its 2001 to 2006 comparison: Ace Limited, American Financial Group, Inc., The Chubb Corporation, Cincinnati Financial Corporation, First American Corporation, LandAmerica Financial Group, MGIC Investment Corporation, Ohio Casualty Corporation, Radian Group Inc., SAFECO Corporation, St. Paul Travelers Companies, Inc. and XL Capital Ltd. The composition of Peer Group 1 has been approved by the Compensation Committee. It is comprised of the same companies as last year’s Peer Group except for one company (Fidelity National Financial Inc.) that was replaced by LandAmerica Financial Group because a spin-off by the former resulted in a change of its consolidated business mix which is not as representative of the Company’s business mix. Peer Group 2 consists of the same companies used by the Company for its 2005 peer group comparison.
 
22
 
Item 6 - Selected Financial Data ($ in millions, except share data)
     
   
December 31,
   
2006
 
2005
FINANCIAL POSITION:
       
   Cash and Invested Assets (1)
 
$ 8,230.8
 
$ 7,394.1
   Other Assets
 
4,381.4
 
4,149.0
        Total Assets
 
$ 12,612.2
 
$ 11,543.2
         
   Liabilities, Other than Debt
 
$ 8,098.6
 
$ 7,376.4
   Debt
 
144.3
 
142.7
        Total Liabilities
 
8,243.0
 
7,519.1
   Preferred Stock
 
-
 
-
   Common Shareholders' Equity
 
4,369.2
 
4,024.0
        Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity 
 
$ 12,612.2
 
$ 11,543.2
         
    Total Capitalization (2)
 
$ 4,513.5
 
$ 4,166.7
 
 
   
Years Ended December 31,
   
2006
 
2005
 
2004
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS:
           
   Net Premiums and Fees Earned
 
$ 3,400.5
 
$ 3,386.9
 
$ 3,116.1
   Net Investment and Other Income
 
374.6
 
354.0
 
327.5
   Realized Investment Gains
 
19.0
 
64.9
 
47.9
        Net Revenues
 
3,794.2
 
3,805.9
 
3,491.6
   Benefits, Claims, and
           
      Settlement Expenses
 
1,539.6
 
1,465.4
 
1,307.9
   Underwriting and Other Expenses
 
1,574.3
 
1,593.0
 
1,532.7
        Pretax Income
 
680.1
 
747.3
 
650.9
   Income Taxes 
 
215.2
 
195.9
 
215.9
        Net Income
 
$ 464.8
 
$ 551.4
 
$ 435.0
 
 
COMMON SHARE DATA: (3)
           
  Net Income:
       
 
 
     Basic
 
$ 2.01
 
$ 2.40
 
$ 1.91
     Diluted
 
$ 1.99
 
$ 2.37
 
$ 1.89
             
  Dividends: Cash   - Regular 
 
$ .590
 
$ .512
 
$ .402
- Special (4)
 
-
 
.800
 
-
- Total
 
$ .590
 
$ 1.312
 
$ .402
                    Stock  
-%
 
25%
 
-%
             
  Book Value
 
$ 18.91
 
$ 17.53
 
$ 16.94
             
  Common Shares (thousands):
           
     Outstanding
 
231,047
 
229,575
 
228,204
 
           
     Average: Basic
 
231,017
 
229,487
 
228,177
 Diluted
 
233,034
 
232,108
 
230,759
   
(1) Consists of cash, investments and investment income due and accrued.
(2) Total capitalization consists of debt, preferred stock, and common shareholders' equity.
(3) All per share statistics herein have been restated to reflect all stock dividends or splits declared through December 31, 2006.
(4) A special cash dividend of $.800 per share was paid in December 2005.

23
 
Item 7 - Management Analysis of Financial Position and Results of Operations
($ in Millions, Except Share Data)
 
OVERVIEW

This management analysis of financial position and results of operations pertains to the consolidated accounts of Old Republic International Corporation (“Old Republic” or “the Company”). The Company conducts its operations through three major regulatory segments, namely, its General (property and liability), Mortgage Guaranty, and Title insurance segments. A small life and health insurance business, accounting for approximately 2% of both consolidated revenues for the year ended December 31, 2006 and consolidated assets as of December 31, 2006, is included within the corporate and other caption of this report. The consolidated accounts are presented on the basis of generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). This management analysis should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the footnotes appended to them.

The insurance business is distinguished from most others in that the prices (premiums) charged for various coverages are set without certainty of the ultimate benefit and claim costs that will emerge or be incurred, often many years after issuance of a policy. This basic fact casts Old Republic’s business as a long-term undertaking which is managed with a primary focus on the achievement of favorable underwriting results over time. In addition to operating income stemming from Old Republic’s basic underwriting and related services functions, significant revenues are obtained from investable funds generated by those functions as well as from retained shareholders’ capital. In managing investable funds the Company aims to assure stability of income from interest and dividends, protection of capital, and sufficient liquidity to meet insurance underwriting and other obligations as they become payable in the future. Securities trading and the realization of capital gains are not objectives. The investment philosophy is therefore best categorized as emphasizing value, credit quality, and relatively long-term holding periods. The Company’s ability to hold both fixed maturity and equity securities for long periods of time is enabled by the scheduling of maturities in contemplation of an appropriate matching of assets and liabilities.

In light of the above factors, the Company’s affairs are managed for the long run, without regard to the arbitrary strictures of quarterly or even annual reporting periods that American industry must observe. In Old Republic’s view, short reporting time frames do not comport well with the long-term nature of much of its business, driven as it is by a strong focus on the fundamental underwriting and related service functions of the Company. Management believes that Old Republic’s operating results and financial condition can best be evaluated by observing underwriting and overall operating performance trends over succeeding five to ten year intervals. Such time intervals are likely to encompass one or two economic and/or underwriting cycles, and provide appropriate time frames for such cycles to run their course and for reserved claim costs to be quantified with greater finality and effect.
 
 
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
 
During 2006, Old Republic’s business posted new financial performance records. Assets exceeded $12.6 billion and common shareholders’ equity climbed above $4.3 billion. Consolidated earnings for the year ended December 31, 2006 benefited from the continued strength of General Insurance lines. The Company’s Mortgage Guaranty segment posted slightly lower results, while Title operations were affected by significant downturns in housing and related mortgage lending markets. Favorable investment income trends throughout Old Republic’s operating groups attenuated moderately lower underwriting/service profitability. Consolidated results for 2006 and 2005 were also affected differently by certain unusual charges or credits. Pursuant to recently issued accounting rules, 2006 earnings were constrained by accelerated recognition of stock option costs which resulted in an incremental expense of $3.7 ($2.4 after tax, or one cent per diluted share). On the other hand, 2005 earnings were enhanced by a non-recurring recovery of income taxes and related accumulated interest of $57.9 ($45.9 net of tax, or 20 cents per diluted share). The recovery was related to tax returns for the three years ended December 31, 1990.
 
24
 
Consolidated Results - The major components of Old Republic’s consolidated results were as follows for the periods being reported on:

Years Ended December 31,
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
Operating Revenues:
                 
General insurance
 
$
2,138.7
 
$
2,017.6
 
$
1,822.5
Mortgage guaranty
   
529.9
   
516.0
   
489.9
Title insurance
   
1,007.3
   
1,108.6
   
1,051.8
Corporate and other
   
99.2
   
98.6
   
79.3
Total
 
$
3,775.2
 
$
3,741.0
 
$
3,443.7
Pretax operating income (loss):
                 
General insurance
 
$
401.6
 
$
350.0
 
$
333.0
Mortgage guaranty
   
228.4
   
243.7
   
224.5
Title insurance
   
31.0
   
88.7
   
62.5
Corporate and other
   
-
   
(.1)
 
 
(17.2)
Sub-total
   
661.1
   
682.4
   
602.9
Realized investment gains (losses):
                 
From sales
   
19.0
   
74.1
   
53.2
From impairments
   
-
   
(9.2)
 
 
(5.2)
Net realized investment gains
   
19.0
   
64.9
   
47.9
Consolidated pretax income
   
680.1
   
747.3
   
650.9
Income taxes
   
215.2
   
195.9
   
215.9
Net income
 
$
464.8
 
$
551.4
 
$
435.0
                   
Consolidated underwriting ratio:
                 
Benefits and claims
 
45.3
%
 
43.3
%
 
42.0
%
Expenses ratio
 
44.7
   
45.2
%
 
47.3
%
Composite ratio
 
90.0
%
 
88.5
%
 
89.3
%
                   
Components of diluted net income per share:
               
Net operating income:
                 
Before non-recurring income tax benefit
 
$
1.94
 
$
1.99
 
$
1.75
2005 non-recurring income tax benefit
   
-
   
.20
   
-
Total
   
1.94
   
2.19
   
1.75
Net realized investment gains
   
.05
   
.18
   
.14
Net income
 
$
1.99
 
$
2.37
 
$
1.89
 
The table above presents consolidated results in terms of both operating and net income to highlight the effects of investment gain or loss recognition and non-recurring items on period-to-period comparisons. Operating income, however, does not replace net income computed in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”) as a measure of total profitability. The recognition of investment gains or losses can be highly discretionary and arbitrary due to such factors as the timing of individual securities sales, recognition of estimated losses from write-downs for impaired securities, tax-planning considerations, and changes in investment management judgments relative to the direction of securities markets or the future prospects of individual investees or industry sectors. Likewise, non-recurring items such as the income tax recovery described above, can distort the comparability of the Company’s operating performance from period-to-period. Accordingly, management uses the non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and explain operating performance, and believes their use enhances an understanding of Old Republic’s results.

During the final quarters of 2005 and 2004, the Company liquidated approximately 55% and 50%, respectively, of its then actively managed equity investment portfolios. As a result, above average net realized investment gains of $40.3 and $25.2, respectively, were registered in these periods. A significant portion of the sales proceeds were redirected toward index-style investment portfolios. Approximately 84% and 87% of total equity investments at December 31, 2006 and 2005, respectively, were committed to such indexed portfolios, and the remaining 16% and 13%, respectively, represented actively managed equity investment portfolios.
 
25
 
General Insurance Results - The General Insurance Group continued to post favorable operating results. Key indicators of that performance follow:

Years Ended December 31,
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
Net premiums earned
 
$
1,902.1
 
$
1,805.2
 
$
1,623.0
Net investment income
   
221.5
   
197.0
   
183.4
Pretax operating income
 
$
401.6
 
$
350.0
 
$
333.0
                   
Claims ratio
 
65.9
%
 
66.9
%
 
65.9
%
Expense ratio
 
24.4
   
24.6
   
24.8
 
Composite ratio
 
90.3
%
 
91.5
%
 
90.7
%
 
General Insurance earned premium growth for the past three years reflects the positive pricing and risk selection changes effected since 2000 in particular, as well as additional business produced in an environment marked by reasonably stable underwriting discipline on the part of many competitors. Premiums earned registered 5.4% growth for 2006. Substantially all 2006 premium growth stemmed from trucking insurance, home warranty, and financial indemnity insurance coverages. Loss costs remained at very acceptable levels for most major coverages, continuing to benefit from reasonably contained inflationary pressures on claim settlement costs and favorable overall development of prior years’ reserves. Production and general operating expenses remained well aligned with premium growth. Through year-end 2006, the composite underwriting ratio of claims and expenses, the most widely accepted indicator of underwriting performance in the industry, has now registered positive outcomes for five consecutive years. Net investment income rose on the strength of higher market yields and a greater invested asset base.

Claim costs attributable to hurricane damages added less than one percentage point to the composite ratio for 2005. Old Republic’s business is concentrated on liability rather than property coverages. The slight decline in underwriting results for 2005 relative to 2004 was more than offset by an increase in net investment income.

Mortgage Guaranty Results - Old Republic’s Mortgage Guaranty Group has performed within expectations in recent years. Key indicators of the Group’s performance are shown below:

Years Ended December 31,
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
Net premiums earned
 
$
444.3
 
$
429.5
 
$
403.2
Net investment income
   
74.3
   
70.1
   
67.7
Pretax operating income
 
$
228.4
 
$
243.7
 
$
224.5
                   
Claims ratio
 
42.8
%
 
37.2
%
 
35.5
%
Expense ratio
 
22.5
   
22.4
   
25.6
 
Composite ratio
 
65.3
%
 
59.6
%
 
61.1
%

Mortgage Guaranty Group pretax operating income for 2006 reflects a moderate decline in underwriting/service profitability partially offset by net investment income growth. For the three most recent years, premium revenue trends have responded to a combination of improving persistency, lower overall mortgage originations, and varying levels of bulk insurance production. The composite underwriting ratio for the past three years has been affected negatively by a fairly persistent rise in the claims ratio, while a decline in the expense ratio has been a positive offsetting factor. The claims ratio has risen due to the combination of increased paid claims, as well as higher claim frequency and severity levels. Production and administrative expenses remained largely within an approximate range of 22.5% to 25.5% for the periods reported upon. The higher ratio in 2004 resulted from greater stock option compensation expenses offset by recovery of certain prior years’ litigation costs. In concert with higher market yield trends in Old Republic’s overall business, Mortgage Guaranty net investment income has trended higher in the past three years even though the invested asset base has been reduced due to high shareholder dividend payments by the Group.

Title Insurance Results - Old Republic’s Title Insurance segment registered a substantial drop in profitability for 2006. Key indicators of that performance follow:

Years Ended December 31,
 
2006
 
2005
 
2004
Net premiums and fees earned
 
$
980.0
 
$
1,081.8
 
$
1,025.2
Net investment income
   
26.9
   
26.0
   
25.5
Pretax operating income
 
$
31.0
 
$
88.7
 
$
62.5
                   
Claims ratio
 
5.9
%
 
6.0
%
 
5.8
%
Expense ratio
 
93.6
   
88.2
   
90.5
 
Composite ratio
 
99.5
%
 
94.2
%
 
96.3
%
 
Title premium and fee revenues dropped by 9.4% in 2006 and profit margins from underwriting/service operations deteriorated as housing and related mortgage lending activity reflected significant downtrends throughout 2006. Substantially all the margin  compression occurred in  the segment’s direct  operations, most of which  are concentrated in the Western United States. Revenues in that region alone dropped by 29.7% in 2006. The resulting production levels in those states have been lower than necessary to support the fixed portion of the operating expense structure. 2006 pretax operating income was also affected by special charges of approximately $7.0. The charges stem from estimated adjustments to filed premium rate classifications, and from additional expense provisions associated with ongoing industry-wide class action litigation. As a consequence of all these factors, Old Republic’s Title segment posted the higher 2006 composite underwriting ratio shown in the above table. While investment income reflected moderate growth, the increase was largely insufficient to counteract the reduction in underwriting/service profitability.
 
26
Title insurance premiums and fees increased by 5.5% in 2005 and dropped by 7.1% in 2004. The decline in 2004 and modest growth achieved in 2005 are generally reflective of a significant reduction in mortgage refinance activity beginning in mid-2003. The higher composite ratio for 2004 was impacted by a 2.2 percentage point increase due to title litigation costs incurred of $22.2, as well as a lower revenue base. The 2.1 percentage point improvement in the 2005 composite ratio was the result of a drop in the expense ratio from the absence of this litigation cost, offset by a slight increase in the claims ratio.

Corporate and Other Operations - Old Republic’s small life and health business, and the net costs associated with the parent holding company and its corporate services subsidiaries produced near break-even results in 2006, and pretax operating deficits of $.1 and $17.2 for 2005 and 2004, respectively. Period-to-period variability in the results of these relatively minor elements of Old Republic’s operations usually stems from the volatility inherent to the Company’s small scaled life and health business and fluctuations in the timing of expense recognition related to costs such as the aforementioned stock option expenses. The significant operating deficit for 2004 was affected by a pretax charge of $10.5 for previously deferred term-life acquisition costs.

Cash, Invested Assets, and Shareholders’ Equity -  The following table reflects the consolidated cash and invested assets as well as shareholders’ equity at the dates shown:

As of December 31,
2006
 
2005
Cash and invested assets
$
8,230.8
 
$
7,394.1
Shareholders’ equity:
         
Total
 
4,369.2
   
4,024.0
Per share
$
18.91
 
$
17.53
Composition of shareholders’ equity per share:
         
Equity before items below
$
18.72
 
$
17.26
Unrealized investment gains or losses and
         
      other accumulated comprehensive income
 
.19
   
.27
Total
$
18.91
 
$
17.53

The investment portfolio reflects a current allocation of approximately 85% to fixed-maturity securities, and 8% to equities most of which are committed to several indexed stock portfolios. As has been the case for many years, Old Republic’s invested asset base is structured to address enterprise-wide risk management considerations, and to assure a solid funding of its subsidiaries’ long-term obligations to insurance beneficiaries. As a result, it contains little or no exposure to real estate investments, mortgage-backed securities, derivatives, junk bonds, non-liquid private equity commitments, or mortgage loans.

The latest periods’ changes in the shareholders’ equity account reflect principally additions from earnings in excess of dividend payments.
 
Effective January 1, 2006, the Company reclassified its long-term investments in U.S. Treasury Tax and Loss Bonds held by its mortgage guaranty insurance subsidiaries. The reclassification is intended to conform to more common industry reporting practices and to better align such assets with the corresponding long-term deferred income tax liabilities to which they relate. As a result of this reclassification, invested asset balances have been reduced and the prepaid income tax asset has been increased, and periodic cash flow from operating and investing activities have been adjusted by the correspondingly identical amounts shown in the following tables. The reclassification has no effect on the financial position or net income of the Company, nor does it call for the receipt or disbursement of any additional cash resources. The following table shows the effect of these adjustments on pertinent financial statement performance indicators as of the balance sheet dates and for the periods shown.

As of December 31,
2006
 
2005
 
2004
Cash and invested assets:
               
Previous classification
$
8,699.3
 
$
7,939.9
 
$
7,519.5
After reclassification
 
8,230.8
   
7,394.1
   
7,020.2
Change
 
(468.4
)
 
(545.7
)
 
(499.3)
Total other assets:
               
Previous classification
 
3,913.0
   
3,603.2
   
3,051.3
After reclassification
 
4,381.4
   
4,149.0
   
3,550.6
Change
$
468.4
 
$
545.7
 
$
499.3

27
 
Years Ended December 31,
2006
 
2005
 
2004
Cash flows from operating activities:
               
Previous classification
$
927.4
 
$
880.0
 
$
828.3
After reclassification
 
1,004.7
   
833.6
   
775.5
Change
 
77.3
   
(46.4
)
 
(52.8)
Cash flows from investing activities:
               
Previous classification
 
(810.1
)
 
(589.9
)
 
(734.1)
After reclassification
 
(887.4
)
 
(543.5
)
 
(681.3)
Change
$
(77.3
)
$
46.4
 
$
52.8

Each of the Company’s major segments have registered positive operating cash flow during the past three years. Consolidated operating cash flow amounted to $1,004.7 for 2006 versus $833.6 for 2005 and $775.5 for 2004. 2006 operating cash flow was enhanced by approximately $198 as a result of the acquisition of a casualty book of insurance business in the final quarter of the year. On the other hand, 2005 operating cash flow benefited from the aforementioned non-recurring tax recovery of $45.9.
 
TECHNICAL MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

The Company’s annual and interim financial statements incorporate a large number and types of estimates relative to matters which are highly uncertain at the time the estimates are made. The estimation process required of an insurance enterprise is by its very nature highly dynamic inasmuch as it necessitates a continual process of evaluating, analyzing, and quantifying factual data as it becomes known to the Company. As a result, actual experienced outcomes can differ from the estimates made at any point in time, and thus affect future periods’ reported revenues, expenses, net income, and financial condition.

Old Republic believes that its most critical accounting estimates relate to: a) the determination of other-than-temporary impairments in the value of fixed maturity and equity investments; b) the establishment of deferred acquisition costs which vary directly with the production of insurance premiums; c) the recoverability of reinsured paid and/or outstanding losses; and d) the reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses. The major assumptions and methods used in the establishment of these estimates are discussed in the pertinent sections of this Management Analysis and are summarized as follows:

(a) Other-than-temporary impairments in the value of investments:

Individual securities are considered for a possible write-down:

·  
In the event their market value has dropped by 20% or more below their par or amortized cost and/or the security has been in an unrealized loss position for twelve consecutive months;

·  
In the event of issuer default on significant obligations or emergence of such adverse information as to bring into question the validity of previously reported earnings or financial condition; and

·  
When the probability of non-recovery of the original investment is established, the foregoing events or occurrences notwithstanding.

For the three years ended December 31, 2006, pretax charges due to other-than-temporary impairments in the value of securities reduced pretax income within a range of - % and 1.2% and averaged .7% of such income.

(b) Establishment of deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”)

The eligibility for deferral and the recoverability of DAC is based on the current terms and recent profitability of the insurance contracts to which they relate. As of the three most recent year ends, consolidated DAC balances ranged between 2.1% and 2.2% and averaged 2.1% of consolidated assets. The annual change in DAC balances for the three-year period reduced underwriting, acquisition and other expenses within a range of .5% and 1.6%, and averaged .9 % of such expenses.

(c) The recoverability of reinsured paid and/or outstanding losses

Assets consisting of gross paid losses recoverable from assuming reinsurers, and balance sheet date reserves similarly recoverable in future periods as gross losses are settled and paid, are established at the same time as the gross losses are paid or recorded as reserves. Accordingly, these assets are subject to the same estimation processes and valuations as the related gross amounts that are discussed below. As of the three most recent year ends, paid and outstanding reinsurance recoverable balances ranged between 36.1% and 39.7% and averaged 38.1% of the related gross reserves.

28
 
(d) The reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses

As discussed in pertinent sections of this Management Analysis, the reserves for losses and related loss adjustment expenses are based on a wide variety of factors and calculations. Among these the Company believes the most critical are:

·  
The establishment of expected loss ratios for the three latest accident years, particularly for so-called long tail coverages as to which information about covered losses emerges and becomes more accurately quantified over long periods of time. Long tail lines of business generally include workers compensation, auto liability, general liability, errors and omissions and directors and officers’ liability, and title insurance. Gross loss reserves related to such long tail coverages ranged between 83.8% and 85.1%, and averaged 84.4% of gross consolidated claim reserves as of the three most recent year ends. Net of reinsurance recoverables, such reserves ranged between 82.1% and 84.0% and averaged 82.8% as of the same dates.

·  
Loss trend factors that are used to establish the above noted expected loss ratios. Such factors take into account such variables as judgments and estimates for premium rate trends and adequacy, current and expected interest rates, current and expected social and economic inflation trends, and insurance industry statistical claim trends.

·  
Loss development factors based on Company and/or industry statistics that are used to project reported losses to their estimated ultimate cost in each accounting period.

For each of the three most recent calendar years, prior accident years’ consolidated claim costs have developed favorably and consequently have had the effect of reducing consolidated annual loss costs between 2.9% and 6.9%, or by an average of approximately 4.3% per annum. As a percentage of each of these years’ consolidated earned premiums and fees the favorable developments have ranged between 1.3% and 3.4%, and have averaged 2.0%.

In all the above regards the Company anticipates that future periods’ financial statements will continue to reflect changes in estimates. As in the past such changes will result from altered circumstances, the continuum of newly emerging information and its effect on past assumptions and judgments, the effects of securities markets valuations, and changes in inflation rates and future economic conditions beyond the Company’s control. As a result, Old Republic cannot predict, quantify, or guaranty the likely impact that probable changes in estimates will have on its future financial condition or results of operations.

CHANGES IN ACCOUNTING POLICIES

On January 1, 2006, the Company adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 123-Revised (“FAS 123R”), “Share-Based Payment” using the modified prospective transition method. The impact of the adoption of FAS123R is discussed in note 1(q) of the notes to consolidated financial statements.

On December 31, 2006, the Company adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 158 (“FAS158”) “Employers Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans”. The impact of the adoption of FAS 158 is discussed in note 1(m) of the notes to the consolidated financial statements.

In July 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued its Interpretation No. 48 (“FIN 48”), “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes”, effective in the first quarter of 2007. FIN 48 provides recognition criteria and a related measurement model for uncertain tax positions taken or expected to be taken in income tax returns. FIN 48 requires that a position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return be recognized in the financial statements when it is more likely than not that the position would be sustained upon examination by tax authorities. The Company anticipates that adoption of FIN 48 will not have a material effect on its consolidated financial statements. As indicated in Note 1(i) of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, the Company believes that the major uncertainties relating to its tax position pertain to timing differences in the recognition of taxable income. Accordingly, the annual effective tax rate, other than possible interest and penalties, would be largely unaffected as an increase in currently due income taxes would likely be offset by a corresponding deferred income tax adjustment.

FINANCIAL POSITION

The Company’s financial position at December 31, 2006 reflected increases in assets, liabilities and common shareholders’ equity of 9.3%, 9.6% and 8.6%, respectively, when compared to the immediately preceding year-end. Cash and invested assets represented 65.3% and 64.1% of consolidated assets as of December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2005, respectively. Consolidated operating cash flow was positive at $1,004.7 in 2006 compared to $833.6 in 2005 and $775.5 in 2004. As of December 31, 2006, the invested asset base increased 11.4% to $8,056.1 principally as a result of positive operating cash flows.

During 2006 and 2005, the Company committed substantially all investable funds to short to intermediate-term fixed maturity securities. At both December 31, 2006 and 2005, approximately 99% of the Company’s investments consisted of marketable securities. Old Republic continues to adhere to its long-term policy of investing primarily in investment grade, marketable securities. Investable funds have not been directed to so-called “junk bonds” or types of securities categorized as derivatives. At December 31, 2006, the Company had $4.0 of fixed maturity investments in default as to principal and/or interest.
 
29
      Relatively high short-term maturity investment positions continued to be maintained as of December 31, 2006. Such positions reflect a large variety of seasonal and intermediate-term factors including current operating needs, expected operating cash flows, quarter-end cash flow seasonality, and investment strategy considerations. Accordingly, the future level of short-term investments will vary and respond to the interplay of these factors and may, as a result, increase or decrease from current levels.

The Company does not own or utilize derivative financial instruments for the purpose of hedging, enhancing the overall return of its investment portfolio, or reducing the cost of its debt obligations. With regard to its equity portfolio, the Company does not own any options nor does it engage in any type of option writing. Traditional investment management tools and techniques are employed to address the yield and valuation exposures of the invested assets base. The long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is managed so as to limit various risks inherent in the bond market. Credit risk is addressed through asset diversification and the purchase of investment grade securities. Reinvestment rate risk is reduced by concentrating on non-callable issues, and by taking asset-liability matching considerations into account. Purchases of mortgage and asset backed securities, which have variable principal prepayment options, are generally avoided. Market value risk is limited through the purchase of bonds of intermediate maturity. The combination of these investment management practices is expected to produce a more stable long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio that is not subject to extreme interest rate sensitivity and principal deterioration.

The market value of the Company’s long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio is sensitive, however, to fluctuations in the level of interest rates, but not materially affected by changes in anticipated cash flows caused by any prepayments. The impact of interest rate movements on the long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio generally affects net unrealized gains or losses. As a general rule, rising interest rates enhance currently available yields but typically lead to a reduction in the fair value of existing fixed maturity investments. By contrast, a decline in such rates reduces currently available yields but usually serves to increase the fair value of the existing fixed maturity investment portfolio. All such changes in fair value are reflected, net of deferred income taxes, directly in the shareholders’ equity account, and as a separate component of the statement of comprehensive income. Given the Company’s inability to forecast or control the movement of interest rates, Old Republic sets the maturity spectrum of its fixed maturity securities portfolio within parameters of estimated liability payouts, and focuses the overall portfolio on high quality investments. By so doing, Old Republic believes it is reasonably assured of its ability to hold securities to maturity as it may deem necessary in changing environments, and of ultimately recovering their aggregate cost.

Possible future declines in fair values for Old Republic’s bond and stock portfolios would affect negatively the common shareholders’ equity account at any point in time, but would not necessarily result in the recognition of realized investment losses. The Company reviews the status and market value changes of each of its investments on at least a quarterly basis during the year, and estimates of other than temporary impairments in the portfolio’s value are evaluated and established at each quarterly balance sheet date. In reviewing investments for other than temporary impairment, the Company, in addition to a security’s market price history, considers the totality of such factors as the issuer’s operating results, financial condition and liquidity, its ability to access capital markets, credit rating trends, most current audit opinion, industry and securities markets conditions, and analyst expectations to reach its conclusions. Sudden market value declines caused by such adverse developments as newly emerged or imminent bankruptcy filings, issuer default on significant obligations, or reports of financial accounting developments that bring into question the validity of previously reported earnings or financial condition, are recognized as realized losses as soon as credible publicly available information emerges to confirm such developments. Accordingly, the recognition of losses from other than temporary value impairments is subject to a great deal of judgment as well as turns of events over which the Company can exercise little or no control. In the event the Company’s estimate of other than temporary impairments is insufficient at any point in time, future periods’ net income would be affected adversely by the recognition of additional realized or impairment losses, but its financial condition would not necessarily be affected adversely inasmuch as such losses, or a portion of them, could have been recognized previously as unrealized losses.

The following tables show certain information relating to the Company’s fixed maturity and equity portfolios as of the dates shown:
 
Credit Quality Ratings of Fixed Maturity Securities (1)
     
   
December 31,
   
2006
 
2005
Aaa
 
32.9
%
 
32.6
%
Aa
 
19.0
   
18.4
 
A
 
26.4
   
27.9
 
Baa
 
20.1
   
20.2
 
Total investment grade
 
98.4
   
99.1
 
All other (2)
 
1.6
   
.9
 
Total
 
100.0
%
 
100.0
%
 
(1)
Credit quality ratings used are those assigned primarily by Moody’s; other ratings are assigned by Standard & Poor’s and converted to equivalent Moody’s ratings classifications.
(2) “All other” includes non-investment or non-rated small issues of tax-exempt bonds.
 
30
 
Gross Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Non-Investment Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
     
   
December 31, 2006
   
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
Fixed Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
           
Service
 
$
31.0
 
$
1.4
Retail
   
13.3
   
.8
Consumer Durables
   
7.6
   
.8
Finance
   
17.1
   
.2
Consumer Non-durables
   
8.1
   
.1
Total
 
$
77.3
(3)
$
3.4
(3) Represents 1.1% of the total fixed maturity securities portfolio.
 
Gross Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Investment Grade Fixed Maturity Securities
     
   
December 31, 2006
   
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
Fixed Maturity Securities by Industry Concentration:
           
Municipals
 
$
1,343.4
 
$
14.7
Utilities
   
487.3
   
13.1
Consumer Non-durables
   
272.7
   
5.9
Industrials
   
322.9
   
5.0
Other (includes 17 industry groups)
   
2,226.1
   
45.5
Total
 
$
4,652.6
(4)
$
84.4
(4) Represents 67.7% of the total fixed maturity securities portfolio.
 
Gross Unrealized Losses Stratified by Industry Concentration for Equity Securities
     
   
December 31, 2006
   
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
Equity Securities by Industry Concentration:
           
Insurance
 
$
7.6
 
$
.8
Consumer Non-durables
   
8.2
   
.4
Banking
   
3.6
   
.3
Consumer Durables
   
3.5
   
.1
Health Care
   
3.9
   
.1
Total
 
$
27.0
(5)
$
1.8
(6)
(5) Represents 5.1% of the total equity securities portfolio.
(6) Represents .3% of the cost of the total equity securities portfolio, while gross unrealized gains represent 25.5% of the portfolio.
 
Gross Unrealized Losses Stratified by Maturity Ranges for All Fixed Maturity Securities
     
   
December 31, 2006
   
Amortized Cost
of Fixed Maturity Securities
 
Gross Unrealized Losses
   
All
 
Non-
Investment
Grade Only
 
All
 
Non-
Investment
Grade Only
Maturity Ranges:
                       
Due in one year or less
 
$
385.6
 
$
6.0
 
$
1.8
 
$
-
Due after one year through five years
   
1,904.2
   
50.5
   
34.0
   
1.6
Due after five years through ten years
   
2,423.9
   
20.6
   
51.6
   
1.7
Due after ten years
   
16.1
   
-
   
.3
   
-
Total
 
$
4,730.0
 
$
77.3
 
$
87.8
 
$
3.4
 
31
 
Gross Unrealized Losses Stratified by Duration and Amount of Unrealized Losses
     
   
December 31, 2006
 
   
Amount of Gross Unrealized Losses
 
   
Less than
20% of Cost
 
20% to 50%
of Cost
 
More than 50% of Cost
 
Total Gross Unrealized Loss
 
Number of Months in Loss Position:
                         
Fixed Maturity Securities:
                         
One to six months
 
$
5.2
 
$
-
 
$
-
 
$
5.2
 
Seven to twelve months
   
10.2
   
-
   
-
   
10.2
 
More than twelve months
   
72.3
   
-
   
-
   
72.3
 
Total
 
$
87.8
 
$
-
 
$
-
 
$
87.8
 
Equity Securities:
                         
One to six months
 
$
.5
 
$
-
 
$
-
 
$
.5
 
Seven to twelve months
   
1.2
   
-
   
-
   
1.2
 
More than twelve months
   
-
   
-
   
-
   
-
 
Total
 
$
1.8
 
$
-
 
$
-
 
$
1.8
 
                           
Number of Issues in Loss Position:
                         
Fixed Maturity Securities:
                         
One to six months
   
295
   
-
   
-
   
295
 
Seven to twelve months
   
184
   
-
   
-
   
184
 
More than twelve months
   
735
   
-
   
-
   
735
 
Total
   
1,214
   
-
   
-
   
1,214
(7)
Equity Securities:
                         
One to six months
   
3
   
-
   
-
   
3
 
Seven to twelve months
   
4
   
-
   
-
   
4
 
More than twelve months
   
-
   
-
   
1
   
1
 
Total
   
7
   
-
   
1
   
8
(7)

(7) At December 31, 2006 the number of issues in an unrealized loss position represent 63.6% as to fixed maturities, and  9.8% as
     to equity securities of the total number of such issues held by the Company.

The aging of issues with unrealized losses employs closing market price comparisons with an issue’s original cost. The percentage reduction from original cost reflects the decline as of a specific point in time (December 31, 2006 in the above table) and, accordingly, is not indicative of a security’s value having been consistently below its cost at the percentages and throughout the periods shown.

 
Age Distribution of Fixed Maturity Securities
     
   
December 31,
   
2006
 
2005
Maturity Ranges:
           
Due in one year or less
 
9.6
%
 
10.9
%
Due after one year through five years
 
44.4
   
41.5
 
Due after five years through ten years
 
45.6
   
46.9
 
Due after ten years through fifteen years
 
.4
   
.7
 
Due after fifteen years
 
-
   
-
 
Total
 
100.0
%
 
100.0
%
             
Average Maturity in Years
 
4.5
   
4.7
 
Duration (8)
 
3.9
   
4.0
 

(8)  Duration is used as a measure of bond price sensitivity to interest rate changes. A duration of 3.9 as of December 31, 2006 implies that a 100 basis point parallel increase in interest rates from current levels would result in a possible decline in the market value of the long-term fixed maturity investment portfolio of approximately 3.9%.

32
 
 
Composition of Unrealized Gains (Losses)
     
   
December 31,
   
2006
 
2005
Fixed Maturity Securities:
           
Amortized cost
 
$
6,873.8
 
$
6,323.7
Estimated fair value
   
6,832.6
   
6,331.6
Gross unrealized gains
   
46.6
   
79.5
Gross unrealized losses
   
(87.8
)
 
(71.5
)
Net unrealized gains (losses)
 
$
(41.2
)
$
7.9
             
Equity Securities:
           
Cost
 
$
534.7
 
$
500.9
Estimated fair value
   
669.1
   
552.4
Gross unrealized gains
   
136.1
   
55.1
Gross unrealized losses
   
(1.8
)
 
(3.6
)
Net unrealized gains
 
$
134.3
 
$
51.5
 
Among other major assets, substantially all of the Company’s receivables are not past due. Reinsurance recoverable balances on paid or estimated unpaid losses are deemed recoverable from solvent reinsurers or have otherwise been reduced by allowances for estimated amounts unrecoverable. Deferred policy acquisition costs are estimated by taking into account the variable costs of producing specific types of insurance policies, and evaluating their recoverability on the basis of recent trends in claims costs. The Company’s deferred policy acquisition cost balances have not fluctuated substantially from period-to-period and do not represent significant percentages of assets or shareholders’ equity.

The parent holding company meets its liquidity and capital needs principally through dividends paid by its subsidiaries. The insurance subsidiaries' ability to pay cash dividends to the parent company is generally restricted by law or subject to approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of the states in which they are domiciled. The Company can receive up to $533.6 in dividends from its subsidiaries in 2007 without the prior approval of regulatory authorities. The liquidity achievable through such permitted dividend payments is more than adequate to cover the parent holding company’s currently expected cash outflows represented mostly by interest on outstanding debt and quarterly cash dividend payments to shareholders. In addition, Old Republic can access the commercial paper market for up to $150.0 to meet unanticipated liquidity needs of which $19.0 was outstanding at December 31, 2006.

Old Republic’s total capitalization of $4,513.5 at December 31, 2006 consisted of debt of $144.3 and common shareholders' equity of $4,369.2. Changes in the common shareholders’ equity account for the three most recent years reflect primarily the retention of earnings in excess of dividend requirements. Old Republic has paid cash dividends to its shareholders without interruption since 1942, and has increased the annual rate in each of the past 25 years. The annual dividend rate is typically reviewed and approved by the Board of Directors in the first quarter of each year. In establishing each year’s cash dividend rate the Company does not follow a strict formulaic approach and favors a gradual rise in the annual dividend rate that is largely reflective of long-term consolidated operating earnings trends. Accordingly, each year’s dividend rate is set judgmentally in consideration of such key factors as the dividend paying capacity of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries, the trends in average annual statutory and GAAP earnings for the five most recent calendar years, and the long-term expectations for the Company’s consolidated business. At its February 14, 2006 meeting, the Board of Directors approved a new quarterly cash dividend rate of 15 cents per share effective in the second quarter of 2006, up from 14 cents per share, subject to the usual quarterly authorizations.

At its May, 2006 meeting, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the reacquisition of up to $500.0 of common shares as market conditions warrant during the two year period from that date; no stock had been acquired through December 31, 2006 pursuant to this authorization. In December 2005, the Company cancelled 3.5 million common shares previously reported as treasury stock, restoring them to unissued status; this had no effect on total shareholders’ equity or the financial condition of the Company.

The following table shows certain information relating to the Company’s contractual obligations as of December 31, 2006:
 
 
Payments Due in the Following Years
 
Total
 
 
2007
 
2008 and 2009
 
2010 and 2011
 
2012 and after
Contractual Obligations:
                           
Debt